Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 22:18
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WINNING ICEY TT 1.09.37 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 3 | 3.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | STORMTROUPER E/TT R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 2 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | IGNITING B/TT M F Poon · K W Lui | M F Poon | K W Lui | 6 | 7.7 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION TT M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 1 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | ENCHANTING IBIS H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 9 | 10.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | RED DESERT B A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 10 | 43.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY H/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 7 | 3.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | WINE AND WINE B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 5 | 16.0 | 8 |
| — | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY SR L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | — | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. WINNING ICEY, ridden by L Ferraris and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-3/4, with STORMTROUPER second and IGNITING third. Victory came as the 3.4 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY GLORY | 21.8% | 4.59 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FLAMING PASSION | 20.9% | 4.79 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | WINNING ICEY | 14.9% | 6.71 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | OUR LUCKY GLORY | 12.1% | 8.26 | — |
| 5 | 0 | ENCHANTING IBIS | 7.5% | 13.42 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | IGNITING | 6.1% | 16.50 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | STORMTROUPER | 5.8% | 17.23 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | WINE AND WINE | 4.8% | 20.73 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | RED DESERT | 3.1% | 32.15 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER EAGLE | 3.1% | 32.57 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 34
PLACE
2 23
6 25
9 13.5
QUINELLA
6,9 200.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 109.5
2,9 41
6,9 69
FORECAST
9,6 360
TIERCE
9,6,2 1,897
TRIO
2,6,9 369
FIRST 4
2,6,8,9 497
QUARTET
9,6,2,8 9,116
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
5/6 66.5
5/9 140