Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 19:46
Race 2
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. LUCKY DIAMOND, ridden by L Currie and trained by K H Ting, won by 1/2, with TAILOR MADE second and KOWLOON GREAT third. The winner led throughout. The 3.1 favourite TAILOR MADE finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND Wire to wire B/TT 1.49.60 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 10 | 15.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 8 | TAILOR MADE Closed strongly TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 1 | 3.1 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 4 | KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 6 | 14.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 6 | VINCY Closed strongly C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 7 | 18.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 7 | SUPER BUDDY B C Y Ho · Y S Tsui | C Y Ho | Y S Tsui | 4 | 18.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 10 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS Closed strongly C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 8 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 9 | WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 5 | 9.7 | 5 |
| 8 | 3 | BORN THE SAME DAY H/P Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 2 | 4.9 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 5 | SUPER HONG KONG B/TT A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 3 | 5.3 | 6 |
| 10 | 1 | SURREALISM B L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 9 | 13.0 | 16-1/4 |
| — | 11 | VICTORIOUS SEEKER A Hamelin · P C Ng | A Hamelin | P C Ng | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | WONDER YEARS | 24.5% | 4.08 | 7 |
| 2 | 8 | TAILOR MADE | 19.8% | 5.06 | 2 |
| 3 | 5 | SUPER HONG KONG | 9.6% | 10.46 | 9 |
| 4 | 1 | SURREALISM | 9.0% | 11.10 | 10 |
| 5 | 2 | LUCKY DIAMOND | 8.7% | 11.50 | 1 |
| 6 | 3 | BORN THE SAME DAY | 7.8% | 12.74 | 8 |
| 7 | 6 | VINCY | 6.4% | 15.61 | 4 |
| 8 | 10 | MURRAY'S PARTNERS | 5.8% | 17.14 | 6 |
| 9 | 7 | SUPER BUDDY | 4.6% | 21.56 | 5 |
| 10 | 4 | KOWLOON GREAT | 3.8% | 26.58 | 3 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 155
PLACE
2 37.5
4 40
8 15
QUINELLA
2,8 252.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 306
2,8 94.5
4,8 69
FORECAST
2,8 641
TIERCE
2,8,4 10,945
TRIO
2,4,8 792
FIRST 4
2,4,6,8 2,913
QUARTET
2,8,4,6 73,762
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
5/2 5,049
5/8 364
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 29
A1 —