Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 20:16
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE Closed strongly V/TT 1.40.62 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 3 | 11.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING BOY Closed strongly TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 1 | 5.3 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · P C Ng | L Ferraris | P C Ng | 7 | 7.8 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · D J Whyte | R Maia | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | FREE FOAL V Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 10 | 6.1 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE XB A Hamelin · D A Hayes | A Hamelin | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT M Chadwick · C Fownes | M Chadwick | C Fownes | 8 | 13.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | EVER LAUGH B/TT L Hewitson · K L Man | L Hewitson | K L Man | 5 | 9.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE H/PC/TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 2 | 13.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PAINTER B/TT1 K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 4 | 4.9 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE Led early H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 6 | 23.0 | 7 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. SEAWEED FORTUNE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by K W Lui, won by 3/4, with AMAZING BOY second and KUNGFUMASTER PANDA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.9 favourite PAINTER finished 10th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 18.6% | 5.38 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | FREE FOAL | 13.7% | 7.31 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | SEAWEED FORTUNE | 11.7% | 8.53 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | PAINTER | 10.2% | 9.81 | 10 |
| 5 | 0 | RIGHT HONOURABLE | 9.4% | 10.61 | 9 |
| 6 | 0 | KUNGFUMASTER PANDA | 8.1% | 12.36 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | EVER LAUGH | 7.5% | 13.39 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 7.3% | 13.77 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 7.1% | 14.16 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 3.7% | 26.71 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPERB MOVE | 2.7% | 36.37 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 112.5
PLACE
3 40.5
7 22.5
10 19.5
QUINELLA
3,10 333.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 138.5
3,10 120.5
7,10 60.5
FORECAST
3,10 832
TIERCE
3,10,7 4,003
TRIO
3,7,10 605
FIRST 4
3,5,7,10 1,275
QUARTET
3,10,7,5 34,072
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/3 1,214
2/10 113
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 27.5