Happy Valley · 2022-09-28 · 22:52
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | NEARLY FINE Closed strongly TT 1.48.52 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 5.8 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO Closed strongly TT H Bentley · C S Shum | H Bentley | C S Shum | 4 | 2.2 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | ABOVE Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 5 | 35.0 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL Led early B/TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 10 | 38.0 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM Closed strongly V M F Poon · P F Yiu | M F Poon | P F Yiu | 1 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO B/TT C L Chau · C S Shum | C L Chau | C S Shum | 11 | 21.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B H N Wong · P F Yiu | H N Wong | P F Yiu | 3 | 37.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON SR/XB/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 2 | 9.5 | 7-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BLASTOISE L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 9 | 12.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPERBELLA B/TT Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 6 | 11.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER OASIS B/H/TT M Chadwick · A S Cruz | M Chadwick | A S Cruz | 7 | 8.2 | 15 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-09-28 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. NEARLY FINE, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by 2, with COMET SPLENDIDO second and ABOVE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.2 favourite COMET SPLENDIDO finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERBELLA | 17.6% | 5.70 | 10 |
| 2 | 0 | COMET SPLENDIDO | 16.9% | 5.91 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SUPER OASIS | 11.8% | 8.50 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | NEARLY FINE | 10.3% | 9.73 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | NATURAL STORM | 8.7% | 11.55 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 8.0% | 12.45 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | ROMANTIC COMBO | 8.0% | 12.47 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 5.7% | 17.55 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | ABOVE | 4.5% | 22.39 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | ROBOT WARRIOR | 4.4% | 22.64 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | PERFECT MARYKNOLL | 4.2% | 23.94 | 4 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 58.5
PLACE
2 83.5
6 18.5
7 12
QUINELLA
6,7 57
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 312.5
2,7 161.5
6,7 26
FORECAST
6,7 179
TIERCE
6,7,2 3,119
TRIO
2,6,7 573
FIRST 4
2,6,7,11 3,252
QUARTET
6,7,2,11 44,035
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A3 —
A1 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,6,9/2,6,7 21,266
7TH DOUBLE
9/6 217.5
9/7 18
SIX UP
3/8/2/5/9/6 86,634
3,10/2,8/2,7/4,5/6,9/6,7 869
2 [C Fownes] —
8 [C Y Ho] —
TREBLE
5/9/6 759
5/9/7 58