Sha Tin · 2022-12-11 · 15:26
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER Closed strongly 1.47.57 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 2 | 1.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SECRET VISION Closed strongly TT J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 5 | 8.1 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON Led early H/TT K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 14 | 15.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO H/TT K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 8 | 5.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | LOOKING COOL PC M Chadwick · F C Lor | M Chadwick | F C Lor | 4 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON Closed strongly CP-/SR-/XB/B2/TT B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 11 | 34.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS Closed strongly B H Bowman · P F Yiu | H Bowman | P F Yiu | 9 | 11.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE Closed strongly TT J Moreira · C Fownes | J Moreira | C Fownes | 13 | 42.0 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/TT1 H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 1 | 50.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING Closed strongly B M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 6 | 198.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ENTRUSTED CP/TT J McNeil · W Y So | J McNeil | W Y So | 10 | 60.0 | 14-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SWAN BAY Closed strongly L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 12 | 150.0 | 17-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | BLASTOISE K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 3 | 43.0 | 19 |
| 14 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH B C Y Ho · D J Hall | C Y Ho | D J Hall | 7 | 46.0 | 39-3/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-11 was Class 3 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. SWEET ENCOUNTER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with SECRET VISION second and CHAMPION DRAGON third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SWEET ENCOUNTER | 49.5% | 2.02 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | WOODFIRE BRO | 11.6% | 8.58 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | POWERFUL WINGS | 5.4% | 18.68 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | BLASTOISE | 5.1% | 19.74 | 13 |
| 5 | 0 | CHAMPION DRAGON | 4.7% | 21.46 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | SECRET VISION | 4.3% | 23.34 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | LOOKING COOL | 4.1% | 24.20 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | INVINCIBLE MISSILE | 3.5% | 28.69 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | ENTRUSTED | 3.1% | 31.79 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | SWAN BAY | 2.5% | 39.91 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | ROUND THE EARTH | 2.1% | 48.12 | 14 |
| 12 | 0 | S J TOURBILLON | 2.0% | 50.10 | 6 |
| 13 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 1.5% | 65.15 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | DEAR SIBLING | 0.6% | 169.91 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
3 17.5
PLACE
1 39
3 11.5
6 22
QUINELLA
3,6 75.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,3 80.5
1,6 183
3,6 34.5
FORECAST
3,6 128
TIERCE
3,6,1 1,214
TRIO
1,3,6 405
FIRST 4
1,3,4,6 265
QUARTET
3,6,1,4 4,509
All pools (4 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
1/3 76
1/6 64.5
TRIPLE TRIO
3,5,9/1,2,12/1,3,6 9,127,279
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
3,5,9/1,2,12/Any Combination 13,629