Sha Tin · 2022-12-11 · 16:03
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE Wire to wire TT 1.33.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 2 | 3.2 | N |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SIXTY Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 4 | 1.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | LAWS OF INDICES B2/XB/TT J McDonald · A Neasham | J McDonald | A Neasham | 9 | 55.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | MORE THAN THIS Closed strongly CP K C Leung · C S Shum | K C Leung | C S Shum | 3 | 97.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | DANON SCORPION Closed strongly W Buick · T Yasuda | W Buick | T Yasuda | 6 | 13.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL Closed strongly B A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 171.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | WAIKUKU S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 8 | 71.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SCHNELL MEISTER C Lemaire · T Tezuka | C Lemaire | T Tezuka | 1 | 13.0 | 14-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SALIOS R Moore · N Hori | R Moore | N Hori | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | BEAUTY JOY Closed strongly H/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | — | 24.0 | 5-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-11 was Group 1 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CALIFORNIA SPANGLE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with GOLDEN SIXTY second and LAWS OF INDICES third. The winner led throughout. The 1.5 favourite GOLDEN SIXTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CALIFORNIA SPANGLE | 43.0% | 2.32 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | GOLDEN SIXTY | 25.4% | 3.94 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY JOY | 11.8% | 8.48 | — |
| 4 | 0 | SCHNELL MEISTER | 5.8% | 17.37 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | DANON SCORPION | 4.1% | 24.38 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | LAWS OF INDICES | 4.0% | 24.99 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | WAIKUKU | 3.1% | 31.75 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | MORE THAN THIS | 1.7% | 57.27 | 5 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 1.0% | 97.04 | 7 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 32
PLACE
1 10.1
2 11
7 78
QUINELLA
1,2 18
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 12
1,7 92.5
2,7 117.5
FORECAST
2,1 57
TIERCE
2,1,7 570
TRIO
1,2,7 93
FIRST 4
1,2,6,7 203
QUARTET
2,1,7,6 3,085
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,3,6/1,2,7 7,722
3 PICK 1
A2 25.5
A1 —
A3 —
6TH DOUBLE
3/1 10.5
3/2 43