Sha Tin · 2022-12-11 · 17:24
Race 9
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-11 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. SUPER SUNNY SING, ridden by M Chadwick and trained by W Y So, won by N, with VOYAGE BUBBLE second and GOLDEN EXPRESS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.0 favourite GOLDEN EXPRESS finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING Closed strongly H 1.22.06 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) M Chadwick · W Y So | M Chadwick | W Y So | 6 | 6.9 | N |
| 2 | 6 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Closed strongly CP1 J Moreira · P F Yiu | J Moreira | P F Yiu | 3 | 3.7 | N |
| 3 | 10 | GOLDEN EXPRESS Led early Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 2.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA Closed strongly C Lemaire · D A Hayes | C Lemaire | D A Hayes | 12 | 33.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | ROCKET SPADE Closed strongly XB/TT B Shinn · C Fownes | B Shinn | C Fownes | 14 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE Closed strongly C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 7 | 28.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL H-/XB/B1 H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 18.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | TAMRA BLITZ H/SR/XB L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 1 | 36.0 | 3 |
| 9 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT H K C Leung · C H Yip | K C Leung | C H Yip | 11 | 45.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN TT1 S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 13 | 129.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 11 | 5 | THESIS Closed strongly R Moore · R Gibson | R Moore | R Gibson | 10 | 67.0 | 5 |
| 12 | 3 | SWORD POINT CP J McDonald · F C Lor | J McDonald | F C Lor | 9 | 23.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | STARFIRE GEMS XB/TT J McNeil · J Richards | J McNeil | J Richards | 4 | 230.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | CHARITY GRACE B M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 2 | 68.0 | 12-1/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 21.2% | 4.72 | 3 |
| 2 | 6 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 17.5% | 5.72 | 2 |
| 3 | 12 | SUPER SUNNY SING | 9.8% | 10.24 | 1 |
| 4 | 9 | PHOENIX LIGHT | 8.5% | 11.79 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 6.5% | 15.32 | 6 |
| 6 | 5 | THESIS | 5.4% | 18.48 | 11 |
| 7 | 3 | SWORD POINT | 5.3% | 18.89 | 12 |
| 8 | 14 | TAMRA BLITZ | 4.9% | 20.38 | 8 |
| 9 | 2 | CHARITY GRACE | 4.2% | 23.98 | 14 |
| 10 | 4 | ATULLIBIGEAL | 4.1% | 24.49 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | ROCKET SPADE | 4.0% | 24.71 | 5 |
| 12 | 1 | BON'S A PEARLA | 4.0% | 25.15 | 4 |
| 13 | 11 | ISLAND GOLDEN | 3.7% | 27.32 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | STARFIRE GEMS | 1.0% | 99.58 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
12 69.5
PLACE
6 15.5
10 13
12 17
QUINELLA
6,12 129
QUINELLA PLACE
6,10 24
6,12 44
10,12 31.5
FORECAST
12,6 282
TIERCE
12,6,10 890
TRIO
6,10,12 86
FIRST 4
1,6,10,12 656
QUARTET
12,6,10,1 17,221
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 —
A2 45.5
8TH DOUBLE
2/6 12
2/12 193.5