Sha Tin · 2022-12-11 · 16:43
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR Closed strongly TT 1.59.70 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) J McDonald · C S Shum | J McDonald | C S Shum | 7 | 1.8 | 4-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | DANON THE KID Closed strongly Y Kitamura · T Yasuda | Y Kitamura | T Yasuda | 6 | 15.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER B- S De Sousa · F C Lor | S De Sousa | F C Lor | 4 | 44.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 12 | 34.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR Closed strongly SR-/B2 B Shinn · D J Whyte | B Shinn | D J Whyte | 5 | 26.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GEOGLYPH Closed strongly W Buick · T Kimura | W Buick | T Kimura | 3 | 19.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | JACK D'OR Y Take · K Fujioka | Y Take | K Fujioka | 2 | 5.2 | 7-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | KA YING STAR V/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 9 | 122.0 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | LEI PAPALE H J Moreira · T Takano | J Moreira | T Takano | 1 | 14.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PANTHALASSA Led early Y Yoshida · Y Yahagi | Y Yoshida | Y Yahagi | 8 | 5.8 | 14-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | ORDER OF AUSTRALIA B/XB/TT R Moore · A P O'Brien | R Moore | A P O'Brien | 11 | 59.0 | 21-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SAVVY NINE B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 10 | 108.0 | 21-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-11 was Group 1 over 2000m, run on GOOD going. ROMANTIC WARRIOR, ridden by J McDonald and trained by C S Shum, won by 4-1/2, with DANON THE KID second and MONEY CATCHER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.8 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ROMANTIC WARRIOR | 36.3% | 2.76 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | MONEY CATCHER | 11.5% | 8.70 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | LEI PAPALE | 9.0% | 11.13 | 9 |
| 4 | 0 | TOURBILLON DIAMOND | 7.4% | 13.43 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | DANON THE KID | 5.8% | 17.33 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | PANTHALASSA | 5.5% | 18.05 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | ORDER OF AUSTRALIA | 5.4% | 18.36 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | JACK D'OR | 4.7% | 21.38 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | GEOGLYPH | 4.4% | 22.50 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SAVVY NINE | 3.6% | 27.44 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | RUSSIAN EMPEROR | 3.4% | 29.83 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | KA YING STAR | 2.9% | 34.19 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 18.5
PLACE
2 10.1
6 41.5
9 74
QUINELLA
2,6 137.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 59
2,9 94.5
6,9 597
FORECAST
2,6 259
TIERCE
2,6,9 3,375
TRIO
2,6,9 864
FIRST 4
2,6,7,9 2,843
QUARTET
2,6,9,7 28,689
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 18.5
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
2/2 79.5
2/6 114