Happy Valley · 2022-12-14 · 18:46
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS Closed strongly 2.17.53 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 1 | 6.4 | N |
| 2 | 0 | JUBILATION V M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 3 | 7.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | CABLE SPEED Closed strongly CP/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 2 | 14.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY Closed strongly TT Z Purton · Y S Tsui | Z Purton | Y S Tsui | 5 | 4.5 | 4-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | BARON ZEE Closed strongly TT S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 11 | 24.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SKY GEM Closed strongly K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 8 | 4.1 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING FACE Closed strongly B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | OH BRAVO TT M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 20.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL B/H/XB R Maia · A T Millard | R Maia | A T Millard | 9 | 28.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY Led early C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 10 | 7.0 | 12 |
| 11 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER B/H/TT H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 6 | 134.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD E/XB C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 66.0 | 15-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-14 was Class 5 over 2200m, run on GOOD going. MANAGEMENT FOLKS, ridden by H Bowman and trained by D J Hall, won by N, with JUBILATION second and CABLE SPEED third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.1 favourite SKY GEM finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUPERB DADDY | 23.5% | 4.25 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | JUBILATION | 11.6% | 8.63 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | FOXHUNTER WAY | 11.3% | 8.83 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | SKY GEM | 10.1% | 9.92 | 6 |
| 5 | 0 | MANAGEMENT FOLKS | 8.1% | 12.33 | 1 |
| 6 | 0 | CABLE SPEED | 7.9% | 12.67 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | BARON ZEE | 7.7% | 12.92 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | OH BRAVO | 6.3% | 15.96 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SMILING FACE | 5.8% | 17.18 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | FORTUNE PATROL | 3.1% | 32.08 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | LEISURE AND GOLD | 2.4% | 41.52 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | FORTUNE WINNER | 2.1% | 46.53 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 64
PLACE
2 20.5
4 25.5
10 36.5
QUINELLA
2,4 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 71
2,10 83
4,10 145.5
FORECAST
2,4 374
TIERCE
2,4,10 3,500
TRIO
2,4,10 789
FIRST 4
1,2,4,10 1,066
QUARTET
2,4,10,1 21,055
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 26.5
A2 —