Happy Valley · 2022-12-14 · 21:17
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING SILVER Closed strongly CP/TT 1.50.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 6 | 3.3 | N |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING TIME Closed strongly V/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 8 | 9.7 | N |
| 3 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL Closed strongly B C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 3.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT Led early B/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 4.9 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 9.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING Closed strongly K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 10 | 14.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR Closed strongly B M F Poon · W Y So | M F Poon | W Y So | 12 | 26.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | KEEN UNITY B/TT- K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 2 | 35.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL IS READY B/XB2 J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 4 | 44.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS B-/H1/TT1 H T Mo · C W Chang | H T Mo | C W Chang | 3 | 185.0 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE CP/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 7 | 61.0 | 12 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-14 was Class 4 over 1800m, run on GOOD going. FLYING SILVER, ridden by Z Purton and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with SMILING TIME second and HAPPY ANGEL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLYING SILVER | 33.8% | 2.96 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY ANGEL | 10.8% | 9.22 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SMILING TIME | 8.8% | 11.36 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | RAINBOW LIGHT | 8.1% | 12.35 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | FLYING MOJITO | 7.8% | 12.84 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | KEEN UNITY | 7.5% | 13.39 | 9 |
| 7 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 7.2% | 13.93 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | OWNERS' STAR | 6.3% | 15.90 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING MONKEYKING | 3.9% | 25.50 | 7 |
| 10 | 0 | ALL IS READY | 3.2% | 31.64 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | NOTHING IMPOSSIBLE | 1.9% | 53.21 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 0.8% | 127.90 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 33
PLACE
4 27
5 14.5
9 16
QUINELLA
4,9 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,5 57
4,9 61.5
5,9 31.5
FORECAST
9,4 301
TIERCE
9,4,5 905
TRIO
4,5,9 178
FIRST 4
3,4,5,9 398
QUARTET
9,4,5,3 5,658
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 19.5
A2 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
12/4 257
12/9 735