Happy Valley · 2022-12-14 · 22:18
Race 8
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED Closed strongly B1/TT 1.39.13 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 3 | 3.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING Closed strongly XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 3.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT TT Z Purton · C S Shum | Z Purton | C S Shum | 8 | 13.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | VILLA FIONN Closed strongly B J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 9 | 28.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY Led early H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 3.4 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL Closed strongly V V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 10 | 22.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED Closed strongly E/TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 12 | 116.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN B/TT K Teetan · A T Millard | K Teetan | A T Millard | 6 | 12.0 | 13-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | PUBLICIST B1/H1 C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 4 | 107.0 | 17 |
| — | 0 | MASTER DELIGHT L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | — | — | — |
| — | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG V1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | — | 54.0 | 10-1/4 |
| — | 0 | PRINCE ALEX Closed strongly CP/SR A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | — | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 8 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-14 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. ENCOUNTERED, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by K L Man, won by 2-1/4, with GALLANT WAKING second and DYNAMIC SPIRIT third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite GALLANT WAKING finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | GALLANT WAKING | 20.9% | 4.79 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | DYNAMIC SPIRIT | 17.6% | 5.69 | 4 |
| 3 | 0 | GOOD BUDDY | 15.2% | 6.60 | 6 |
| 4 | 0 | ENCOUNTERED | 13.6% | 7.38 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT CROWN | 8.3% | 12.08 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | PRINCE ALEX | 5.7% | 17.49 | — |
| 7 | 0 | PEGASUS GENERAL | 5.0% | 19.85 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | CAN'T GO WONG | 4.1% | 24.54 | — |
| 9 | 0 | VILLA FIONN | 3.9% | 25.97 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | PUBLICIST | 3.7% | 26.98 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | INCANTO PREPARED | 2.2% | 45.76 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 35.5
PLACE
3 14.5
7 46
9 15
QUINELLA
3,9 53
QUINELLA PLACE
3,7 106
3,9 25
7,9 109
FORECAST
9,3 120
TIERCE
9,3,7 1,405
TRIO
3,7,9 226
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 619
QUARTET
9,3,7,5 8,948
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 23
A3 —
A1 —
7TH DOUBLE
4/2,3 13.5
4/9 110.5