Happy Valley · 2022-12-14 · 19:16
Race 2
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS Closed strongly B/TT 1.40.23 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 2 | 5.5 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · Y S Tsui | H Bowman | Y S Tsui | 11 | 25.0 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly P-/H/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 5 | 34.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN Closed strongly B C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 1 | 8.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY BABY Closed strongly C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 10 | 14.0 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART FOLKS B K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 3 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS E/P A Hamelin · C Fownes | A Hamelin | C Fownes | 4 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO Led early B Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 7 | 2.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | RING BELLS B/XB R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 6 | 17.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE Closed strongly B/TT K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 12 | 29.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | RED IMPACT V/XB/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 9 | 28.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | POLARIS WINNER B-/TT1 L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 8 | 55.0 | 7-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 2 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-14 was Class 5 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. FLASH FAMOUS, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by C H Yip, won by 1/2, with JOLLY HONOUR second and BEAUTY NOVA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO finished 8th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPIRITANTO | 21.1% | 4.75 | 8 |
| 2 | 0 | FLASH FAMOUS | 15.2% | 6.56 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | AMAZING NEWS | 10.3% | 9.67 | 7 |
| 4 | 0 | SURE WIN WIN | 10.1% | 9.86 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | SUNNY BABY | 9.9% | 10.10 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | SMART FOLKS | 8.6% | 11.69 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | RED IMPACT | 5.5% | 18.19 | 11 |
| 8 | 0 | POLARIS WINNER | 4.6% | 21.95 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | BEAUTY NOVA | 4.4% | 22.60 | 3 |
| 10 | 0 | JOLLY HONOUR | 3.6% | 27.52 | 2 |
| 11 | 0 | HANG'S CHOICE | 3.3% | 29.86 | 10 |
| 12 | 0 | RING BELLS | 3.3% | 30.38 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 55.5
PLACE
6 73
7 17
9 50
QUINELLA
7,9 602.5
QUINELLA PLACE
6,7 275
6,9 791
7,9 164
FORECAST
7,9 1,000
TIERCE
7,9,6 23,964
TRIO
6,7,9 5,496
FIRST 4
6,7,9,11 7,278
QUARTET
7,9,6,11 138,706
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/7 352
2/9 251.5
3 PICK 1
A2 26.5
A1 —
A3 —