Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 13:00
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly 1.22.80 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 8 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE POWER Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · A S Cruz | H Bowman | A S Cruz | 12 | 8.5 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA Closed strongly B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 6 | 7.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | EMBARKED Closed strongly B/XB/TT S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 10 | 42.0 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | APEX TOP B L Hewitson · A T Millard | L Hewitson | A T Millard | 3 | 6.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE B/H/XB/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 7 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER B K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 2 | 21.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | THIS IS GUTS TT C L Chau · C H Yip | C L Chau | C H Yip | 4 | 39.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ALLOY STAR Closed strongly B J McNeil · T P Yung | J McNeil | T P Yung | 11 | 47.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | FANTASY SPRING B M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 38.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SHENRON Led early H/PC/XB/TT2 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 13 | 18.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | TUNG HAYE HAYE Closed strongly B/XB/TT K H Chan · C S Shum | K H Chan | C S Shum | 14 | 140.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | SEA MONARCH TT2 M L Yeung · C W Chang | M L Yeung | C W Chang | 5 | 11.0 | 14 |
| 14 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE CP1 Y L Chung · D A Hayes | Y L Chung | D A Hayes | 9 | 13.0 | 16 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. JOYFUL GENIUS, ridden by Z Purton and trained by D J Hall, won by 1-3/4, with BRAVE POWER second and JIANGXI STAMINA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 23.9% | 4.19 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | BRAVE POWER | 9.1% | 10.99 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SHENRON | 8.0% | 12.49 | 11 |
| 4 | 0 | HANDSOME VEGGIE | 7.6% | 13.19 | 14 |
| 5 | 0 | SEA MONARCH | 7.1% | 14.10 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | JIANGXI STAMINA | 7.0% | 14.39 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | APEX TOP | 6.6% | 15.10 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | THIS IS GUTS | 5.5% | 18.23 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASY SPRING | 5.3% | 18.96 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | ANGELS HUNTER | 4.8% | 20.69 | 7 |
| 11 | 0 | EMBARKED | 4.5% | 22.20 | 4 |
| 12 | 0 | ALLOY STAR | 4.4% | 22.51 | 9 |
| 13 | 0 | GIVE WAY PLEASE | 3.9% | 25.46 | 6 |
| 14 | 0 | TUNG HAYE HAYE | 2.3% | 43.32 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 11.5
3 21.5
5 29.5
QUINELLA
2,5 109.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 39.5
2,5 53
3,5 80.5
FORECAST
2,5 158
TIERCE
2,5,3 587
TRIO
2,3,5 194
FIRST 4
2,3,5,6 756
QUARTET
2,5,3,6 10,208
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 18
A3 —