Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 14:32
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly 1.21.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 4 | 13.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 7 | 6.7 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 11 | 15.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING TT K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 14 | 6.4 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS Led early V L Hewitson · P C Ng | L Hewitson | P C Ng | 6 | 26.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | WAR WEAPON Closed strongly TT Z Purton · W Y So | Z Purton | W Y So | 9 | 2.7 | 2-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW Closed strongly XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 13 | 134.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 8 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH Closed strongly H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 1 | 44.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE CP/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 10 | 37.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY Closed strongly H/XB1/TT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 12 | 16.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 6.1 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | FLYING SWORD B/TT L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 2 | 15.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | VUKAN B/XB/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 8 | 56.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | KARUIZAWA B/TT H N Wong · C S Shum | H N Wong | C S Shum | 5 | 276.0 | 17-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. KASI FARASI, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by C H Yip, won by 1-1/4, with SPARKY STAR second and HELENE WISDOM STAR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.7 favourite WAR WEAPON finished 6th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | WAR WEAPON | 14.9% | 6.73 | 6 |
| 2 | 0 | SPARKY STAR | 10.6% | 9.43 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPLENDID LIVING | 9.8% | 10.22 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 9.8% | 10.23 | 11 |
| 5 | 0 | TYCOON JEWELLERY | 9.5% | 10.51 | 10 |
| 6 | 0 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 7.6% | 13.20 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | KASI FARASI | 7.4% | 13.53 | 1 |
| 8 | 0 | FUNCTION PATCH | 7.2% | 13.98 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING SWORD | 6.4% | 15.62 | 12 |
| 10 | 0 | ONE HEART ONE | 5.8% | 17.38 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 4.8% | 20.97 | 5 |
| 12 | 0 | VUKAN | 3.2% | 30.94 | 13 |
| 13 | 0 | DAZZLING FELLOW | 2.3% | 43.29 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | KARUIZAWA | 0.9% | 113.73 | 14 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 132
PLACE
1 39
7 22.5
10 32.5
QUINELLA
7,10 428.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,7 133.5
1,10 243
7,10 122.5
FORECAST
10,7 748
TIERCE
10,7,1 9,668
TRIO
1,7,10 1,714
FIRST 4
1,7,10,11 2,228
QUARTET
10,7,1,11 65,929
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
7,10,14/1,7,10 1,576,055
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 —
A2 26.5
3RD DOUBLE
7/7 35.5
7/10 233.5