Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 15:36
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 3 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. CAPITAL LEGEND, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C Fownes, won by N, with BEAUTY CHARGE second and BUNDLE OF CHARM third. The 2.5 favourite BUNDLE OF CHARM finished 3rd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT1 1.09.47 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 12 | 28.0 | N |
| 2 | 1 | BEAUTY CHARGE H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 7 | 6.4 | N |
| 3 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 1 | 2.5 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 11 | DREAM PURSUER Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 9 | 6.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 12 | DRAGON DELIGHT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 4 | 165.0 | 1 |
| 6 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 8 | 3.9 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 7 | LIKE THAT V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 93.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 8 | 5 | NOT USUAL STAR H1/TT1 L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 2 | 13.0 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | CAPE BRETON A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 5 | 12.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | STOICISM B/TT Y L Chung · R Gibson | Y L Chung | R Gibson | 6 | 77.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR H M L Yeung · K W Lui | M L Yeung | K W Lui | 10 | 138.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | BEAUTY TURN V1 S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 3 | 34.0 | 4-3/4 |
| — | 0 | STRADALE L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | BUNDLE OF CHARM | 20.7% | 4.84 | 3 |
| 2 | 9 | PULSAR STRIDER | 13.7% | 7.32 | 6 |
| 3 | 11 | DREAM PURSUER | 12.3% | 8.11 | 4 |
| 4 | 3 | CAPE BRETON | 11.0% | 9.11 | 9 |
| 5 | 8 | BEAUTY TURN | 10.4% | 9.60 | 12 |
| 6 | 1 | BEAUTY CHARGE | 8.6% | 11.68 | 2 |
| 7 | 10 | STOICISM | 7.4% | 13.54 | 10 |
| 8 | 6 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 5.4% | 18.66 | 1 |
| 9 | 7 | LIKE THAT | 3.8% | 26.17 | 7 |
| 10 | 5 | NOT USUAL STAR | 2.9% | 34.18 | 8 |
| 11 | 2 | PARTY WARRIOR | 2.5% | 40.45 | 11 |
| 12 | 12 | DRAGON DELIGHT | 1.4% | 71.26 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 283.5
PLACE
1 19
4 12.5
6 60.5
QUINELLA
1,6 916
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 27.5
1,6 265
4,6 147
FORECAST
6,1 1,842
TIERCE
6,1,4 7,557
TRIO
1,4,6 614
FIRST 4
1,4,6,11 782
QUARTET
6,1,4,11 34,533
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A3 57.5
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
2/1 24
2/6 857.5
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
1,7,10/2,5,13/Any Combination 341,488