Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 15:03
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERY Closed strongly B 1.34.41 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 6 | 2.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS Closed strongly B L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 11 | 8.4 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Closed strongly B-/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 64.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 4 | 0 | OVER THE MOON Closed strongly B/TT J McNeil · C Fownes | J McNeil | C Fownes | 9 | 11.0 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE Closed strongly S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 3 | 8.7 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA Closed strongly H-/CP/XB H Bowman · P C Ng | H Bowman | P C Ng | 12 | 5.9 | 6-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY V K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 8 | 24.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 0 | HAPPY HERO B2 C Y Ho · C H Yip | C Y Ho | C H Yip | 7 | 126.0 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR Closed strongly B/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 14 | 41.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND TT Y L Chung · W Y So | Y L Chung | W Y So | 4 | 6.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER B/TT C Wong · C S Shum | C Wong | C S Shum | 1 | 75.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY PARK Closed strongly B-/V2/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 13 | 87.0 | 11-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 10 | 165.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 14 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR Led early V/TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 19.0 | 20 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHEERY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-3/4, with NICHOLSON RETURNS second and STAR OF YUEN LONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.6 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | CHEERY | 30.9% | 3.24 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | PRESIDENT'S CHOICE | 11.3% | 8.82 | 5 |
| 3 | 0 | PAKISTAN FRIEND | 8.6% | 11.66 | 10 |
| 4 | 0 | OSCAR GLORY | 7.7% | 13.07 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | NICHOLSON RETURNS | 7.2% | 13.81 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | VOYAGE STAR | 6.3% | 15.80 | 14 |
| 7 | 0 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 6.3% | 15.86 | 6 |
| 8 | 0 | OVER THE MOON | 6.2% | 16.25 | 4 |
| 9 | 0 | HELENE ALLIBOR | 4.2% | 24.06 | 9 |
| 10 | 0 | REGENCY MASTER | 3.5% | 28.18 | 11 |
| 11 | 0 | VIVA A LA | 3.0% | 33.12 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | VICTORY PARK | 2.2% | 45.24 | 12 |
| 13 | 0 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 1.5% | 67.29 | 3 |
| 14 | 0 | HAPPY HERO | 1.1% | 91.65 | 8 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 26
PLACE
2 15.5
5 30
13 120
QUINELLA
2,5 131
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 59.5
2,13 256.5
5,13 520
FORECAST
2,5 194
TIERCE
2,5,13 7,807
TRIO
2,5,13 2,107
FIRST 4
2,5,8,13 4,640
QUARTET
2,5,13,8 67,609
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 21
4TH DOUBLE
10/2 376
10/5 124.5