Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 13:31
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD going. HOLY POWER, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by J Richards, won by N, with BRAVE DREAMS second and SUPER WISE DRAGON third. The 3.7 favourite UNITED WE STAND finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | HOLY POWER B1/XB1 1.09.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 2 | 29.0 | N |
| 2 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS H/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 11 | 3.8 | N |
| 3 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT1 L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 3 | 115.0 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 12 | MASTER OF LUCK H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 9 | 8.5 | 1 |
| 5 | 1 | UNITED WE STAND B/TT Y L Chung · P C Ng | Y L Chung | P C Ng | 7 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 11 | EASY SNIP C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 6 | 18.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 7 | 9 | E RAINBOW L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 10.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 3 | GOLD TACK S De Sousa · A T Millard | S De Sousa | A T Millard | 1 | 85.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | HERO ICON M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 12 | 6.1 | 4-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | MACH TEN J McNeil · P F Yiu | J McNeil | P F Yiu | 4 | 32.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | HUGE WIN Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 8 | 6.7 | 7 |
| 12 | 10 | HAR HAR AT HEART H1 V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 10 | 42.0 | 7 |
| — | 0 | GOOD RUNNER H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | HUGE WIN | 27.4% | 3.65 | 11 |
| 2 | 1 | UNITED WE STAND | 12.4% | 8.08 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | GOLD TACK | 10.9% | 9.14 | 8 |
| 5 | 12 | MASTER OF LUCK | 7.2% | 13.96 | 4 |
| 6 | 11 | EASY SNIP | 6.9% | 14.48 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | E RAINBOW | 6.3% | 15.96 | 7 |
| 8 | 8 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 4.9% | 20.34 | 3 |
| 9 | 4 | HERO ICON | 3.8% | 26.30 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | HOLY POWER | 3.6% | 27.61 | 1 |
| 11 | 10 | HAR HAR AT HEART | 3.2% | 30.82 | 12 |
| 12 | 7 | MACH TEN | 2.4% | 42.15 | 10 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 296.5
PLACE
2 16
5 63.5
8 154
QUINELLA
2,5 485
QUINELLA PLACE
2,5 147.5
2,8 504
5,8 1,359
FORECAST
5,2 1,092
TIERCE
5,2,8 35,826
TRIO
2,5,8 5,914
FIRST 4
2,5,8,12 10,476
QUARTET
5,2,8,12 329,651
All pools (2 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/2 14
2/5 551.5
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 39
A1 —