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Sha Tin · 2022-12-18 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 2 GOOD 1000m Course C+3 11 runners

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-18 was Class 2 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. PING HAI GALAXY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1/2, with POWER KOEPP second and EQUALETTA BLITZ third. The 2.7 favourite WHIZZ KID finished 4th.

Result

Official · 0.56.31
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 8 PING HAI GALAXY 0.56.31 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 8 6.3 1/2
2 11 POWER KOEPP E S De Sousa · J Size 9 4.5 1/2
3 12 EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H A Hamelin · D J Whyte 3 32.0 1
4 2 WHIZZ KID B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 7 2.7 1-3/4
5 1 TRILLION WIN B-/TT1 H Bowman · K L Man 11 5.4 3-1/4
6 10 JUMBO FORTUNE B-/H-/TT- K Teetan · C Fownes 5 12.0 3-3/4
7 3 HANDSOME BO BO TT L Currie · C S Shum 4 13.0 4-3/4
8 9 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT M F Poon · A S Cruz 10 21.0 5-1/4
9 7 CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT H N Wong · W Y So 1 101.0 12
10 4 HARMONY AND RICH L Hewitson · Y S Tsui 6 64.0 13-1/2
11 5 KEEP YOU WARM B/XB C Y Ho · K W Lui 2 56.0 17-1/4
6 SUNNY BOY C L Chau · W Y So

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. PING HAI GALAXY2. POWER KOEPP+0.5L3. EQUALETTA BLITZ+1L4. WHIZZ KID+1.75L5. TRILLION WIN+3.25L6. JUMBO FORTUNE+3.75L7. HANDSOME BO BO+4.75L8. YOU'REMYEVERYTHING+5.25L9. CLASSIC UNICORN+12L10. HARMONY AND RICH+13.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick WHIZZ KID (29.8%) finished 4th — the winner PING HAI GALAXY was rated #2. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 WHIZZ KID 29.8% 3.36 4
2 8 PING HAI GALAXY 12.8% 7.79 1
3 11 POWER KOEPP 11.8% 8.48 2
4 1 TRILLION WIN 11.1% 9.02 5
5 10 JUMBO FORTUNE 8.1% 12.38 6
6 3 HANDSOME BO BO 6.8% 14.63 7
7 9 YOU'REMYEVERYTHING 5.9% 16.94 8
8 5 KEEP YOU WARM 5.1% 19.49 11
9 12 EQUALETTA BLITZ 4.5% 22.19 3
10 4 HARMONY AND RICH 2.3% 43.49 10
11 7 CLASSIC UNICORN 1.8% 57.14 9
WHIZZ KIDPING HAI GALAXY — wonPOWER KOEPPTRILLION WINJUMBO FORTUNEHANDSOME BO BOYOU'REMYEVERYTHINGKEEP YOU WARMEQUALETTA BLITZHARMONY AND RICHCLASSIC UNICORN

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

8 63

PLACE

8 21

11 16

12 63

QUINELLA

8,11 144.5

QUINELLA PLACE

8,11 47.5

8,12 290.5

11,12 177

FORECAST

8,11 364

TIERCE

8,11,12 5,758

TRIO

8,11,12 919

FIRST 4

2,8,11,12 604

QUARTET

8,11,12,2 18,700

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A3

A1 19

A2

7TH DOUBLE

8/8 286.5

8/11 61.5