Happy Valley · 2022-12-21 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN Closed strongly H/TT 1.39.97 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 3 | 10.0 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR Closed strongly B/XB Z Purton · R Gibson | Z Purton | R Gibson | 7 | 3.5 | N |
| 3 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE B/XB L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 17.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD Led early B C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 5 | 6.4 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly B-/TT L Ferraris · C Fownes | L Ferraris | C Fownes | 8 | 6.2 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 0 | AI ONE Closed strongly H/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 10 | 22.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD CP/XB J McNeil · D J Whyte | J McNeil | D J Whyte | 4 | 15.0 | 3 |
| 8 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON H H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 1 | 4.7 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN VO L Hewitson · D J Hall | L Hewitson | D J Hall | 2 | 13.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN Closed strongly H/PC/TT1 C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 11 | 73.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER B2 M F Poon · C H Yip | M F Poon | C H Yip | 6 | 25.0 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA CP-/H-/B2/TT H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 12 | 136.0 | 10 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-21 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. VIVA POPCORN, ridden by K Teetan and trained by A S Cruz, won by N, with TURIN WARRIOR second and FEARLESS FIRE third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite TURIN WARRIOR finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TURIN WARRIOR | 24.0% | 4.17 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON | 16.0% | 6.26 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | LUCKY GOLD | 11.9% | 8.37 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | VIVA POPCORN | 11.0% | 9.09 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | KILLER INSTINCT | 10.4% | 9.65 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | HIGH CLOUD | 7.1% | 14.14 | 7 |
| 7 | 0 | KYRUS UNICORN | 5.9% | 16.90 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | FEARLESS FIRE | 4.8% | 21.04 | 3 |
| 9 | 0 | COPARTNER FIONN | 3.4% | 29.43 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | AI ONE | 2.6% | 38.10 | 6 |
| 11 | 0 | GLORIOUS LOVER | 1.6% | 61.54 | 11 |
| 12 | 0 | MOONLIGHT VISTA | 1.4% | 72.51 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 100.5
PLACE
5 55.5
7 16.5
9 31
QUINELLA
7,9 220.5
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 107
5,9 289.5
7,9 81.5
FORECAST
9,7 485
TIERCE
9,7,5 5,426
TRIO
5,7,9 952
FIRST 4
3,5,7,9 652
QUARTET
9,7,5,3 19,573
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 21
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
9/7 10.5
9/9 315