Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 13:01
Race 1
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 0 | FAST BUCK B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORY BO BO Led early B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 2.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY Closed strongly B/H K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 12 | 136.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 0 | HAPPY WON B-/PC1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | COURIER MARVEL XB1/TT1 R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 2 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT L Currie · A S Cruz | L Currie | A S Cruz | 7 | 78.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION CP-/B2/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER Closed strongly TT1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 238.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 8 | 54.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE CP A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 96.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | — | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. FAST BUCK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1-1/4, with GLORY BO BO second and STRONGEST BOY third. The 2.6 favourite GLORY BO BO finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | FAST BUCK | 30.0% | 3.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | HAPPY WON | 11.5% | 8.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | GLORY BO BO | 11.3% | 8.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | FORERUNNER | 10.8% | 9.22 | — |
| 5 | 0 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.2% | 10.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | COURIER MARVEL | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 0 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 4.4% | 22.58 | 12 |
| 8 | 0 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.6% | 27.68 | 10 |
| 9 | 0 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.0% | 33.27 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.8% | 35.52 | 9 |
| 11 | 0 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.8% | 35.98 | 13 |
| 12 | 0 | BEAU GOSSE | 1.9% | 51.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 1.2% | 83.09 | 5 |
| 14 | 0 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.1% | 87.29 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 53.5
PLACE
7 20
11 15
14 12.5
QUINELLA
7,11 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 38.5
7,14 31.5
11,14 22
FORECAST
7,11 269
TIERCE
7,11,14 536
TRIO
7,11,14 54
FIRST 4
7,10,11,14 233
QUARTET
7,11,14,10 3,787
All pools (1 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 32.5
A3 —