沙田 · 2022-12-24 · 13:01
第 1場
2022-12-24沙田第1場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bowman策騎、T P Yung訓練的FORERUNNER勝出，贏出1-1/4。FAST BUCK獲得亞軍；GLORY BO BO獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.6倍大熱門GLORY BO BO跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | FORERUNNER 後段發力 1.22.31 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 9 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 11 | FAST BUCK B1 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 2.9 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 14 | GLORY BO BO 早段領放 B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 6 | 2.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 4 | 10 | STRONGEST BOY 後段發力 CP-/B1 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 14 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | STARSHIP EIGHTY 後段發力 B/H K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 12 | 136.0 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | HAPPY WON B-/PC1 K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 3 | 20.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | LUCKY BANNER TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 15.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 8 | 4 | COURIER MARVEL XB1/TT1 R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 2 | 69.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | SMART BEAUTY B/H/TT L Currie · A S Cruz | L Currie | A S Cruz | 7 | 78.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 13 | JOYFUL CHAMPION CP-/B2/TT V Borges · C W Chang | V Borges | C W Chang | 4 | 29.0 | 8 |
| 11 | 5 | CRAIG'S MASTER 後段發力 TT1 H Bentley · K H Ting | H Bentley | K H Ting | 11 | 238.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 1 | DASHING TRIUMPH TT H T Mo · L Ho | H T Mo | L Ho | 1 | 17.0 | 8-3/4 |
| 13 | 6 | DEVIL AND GOLD TT L Hewitson · C H Yip | L Hewitson | C H Yip | 8 | 54.0 | 9 |
| 14 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE CP A Hamelin · D J Whyte | A Hamelin | D J Whyte | 10 | 96.0 | 9-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 11 | FAST BUCK | 30.0% | 3.33 | 2 |
| 2 | 2 | HAPPY WON | 11.5% | 8.71 | 6 |
| 3 | 14 | GLORY BO BO | 11.3% | 8.82 | 3 |
| 4 | 7 | FORERUNNER | 10.8% | 9.22 | 1 |
| 5 | 3 | LUCKY BANNER | 9.2% | 10.86 | 7 |
| 6 | 4 | COURIER MARVEL | 6.2% | 16.20 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | DASHING TRIUMPH | 4.4% | 22.58 | 12 |
| 8 | 13 | JOYFUL CHAMPION | 3.6% | 27.68 | 10 |
| 9 | 10 | STRONGEST BOY | 3.0% | 33.27 | 4 |
| 10 | 8 | SMART BEAUTY | 2.8% | 35.52 | 9 |
| 11 | 6 | DEVIL AND GOLD | 2.8% | 35.98 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | BEAU GOSSE | 1.9% | 51.58 | 14 |
| 13 | 9 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 1.2% | 83.09 | 5 |
| 14 | 5 | CRAIG'S MASTER | 1.1% | 87.29 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
7 53.5
PLACE
7 20
11 15
14 12.5
QUINELLA
7,11 86.5
QUINELLA PLACE
7,11 38.5
7,14 31.5
11,14 22
FORECAST
7,11 269
TIERCE
7,11,14 536
TRIO
7,11,14 54
FIRST 4
7,10,11,14 233
QUARTET
7,11,14,10 3,787
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 32.5
A3 —