沙田 · 2022-12-24 · 15:36
第 6場
2022-12-24沙田第6場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由K Teetan策騎、D A Hayes訓練的FLAGSHIP WARRIOR勝出，贏出SH。BRILLIANT WAY獲得亞軍；MAJESTIC KNIGHT獲得季軍。3.4倍大熱門DINKUM跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR CP1 1.08.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 14 | 19.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY H/P/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 4.1 | SH |
| 3 | 5 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 9 | 9.6 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 12 | GLUCK RACER TT- M F Poon · L Ho | M F Poon | L Ho | 5 | 52.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 11 | DINKUM C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 3.4 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | DROMBEG BANNER K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 11 | 66.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 6 | SOLAR WINDS H/TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 10 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION CP/TT R Maia · A S Cruz | R Maia | A S Cruz | 3 | 4.5 | 3-1/4 |
| 9 | 10 | PUBLICIST B/H/TT1 M L Yeung · P C Ng | M L Yeung | P C Ng | 4 | 234.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 7 | SPEEDY MOUSE A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 7 | 18.0 | 4 |
| 11 | 14 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 12 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 12 | 13 | TEXAS MOON B L Hewitson · T P Yung | L Hewitson | T P Yung | 6 | 11.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 13 | 9 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG TT L Currie · C S Shum | L Currie | C S Shum | 2 | 240.0 | 11-3/4 |
| 14 | 3 | MY ECSTATIC TT H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 13 | 149.0 | 14-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | SOLAR WINDS | 16.5% | 6.05 | 7 |
| 2 | 11 | DINKUM | 16.1% | 6.21 | 5 |
| 3 | 2 | BRILLIANT WAY | 15.6% | 6.40 | 2 |
| 4 | 5 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 9.5% | 10.58 | 3 |
| 5 | 7 | SPEEDY MOUSE | 8.9% | 11.24 | 10 |
| 6 | 4 | COPARTNER AMBITION | 5.9% | 17.08 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | FLAGSHIP WARRIOR | 5.6% | 17.95 | 1 |
| 8 | 14 | PINS PRINCE | 4.5% | 22.19 | 11 |
| 9 | 13 | TEXAS MOON | 4.0% | 25.17 | 12 |
| 10 | 3 | MY ECSTATIC | 3.7% | 27.24 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | GLUCK RACER | 3.5% | 28.19 | 4 |
| 12 | 8 | DROMBEG BANNER | 3.3% | 29.96 | 6 |
| 13 | 9 | GOODBAN BANBANBANG | 1.8% | 54.36 | 13 |
| 14 | 10 | PUBLICIST | 1.1% | 91.44 | 9 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 55.5
PLACE
4 21.5
9 43.5
13 40.5
QUINELLA
4,9 468.5
QUINELLA PLACE
4,9 154.5
4,13 119.5
9,13 241
FORECAST
4,9 767
TIERCE
4,9,13 6,103
TRIO
4,9,13 1,442
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 4,399
QUARTET
4,9,13,1 80,308
全部彩池（另 3 項）
3 PICK 1
A1 23
A3 —
A2 —
5TH DOUBLE
F/4 53
TRIPLE TRIO
1,10,12/Any Combination/4,9,13 2,539,942