沙田 · 2022-12-24 · 17:13
第 9場
2022-12-24沙田第9場，Class 2，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H T Mo策騎、K W Lui訓練的PACKING TREADMILL勝出，贏出HD。FANTASTIC TREASURE獲得亞軍；KEEFY獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。2.8倍大熱門KEEFY跑獲第3名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL 後段發力 SR 1.35.75 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 1 | 5.6 | HD |
| 2 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 3 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 6 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S 早段領放 B H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 9 | BEAUTYVERSE 後段發力 H1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 6 | 13 | FIND MY LOVE 後段發力 M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 11 | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD 後段發力 CP/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 2 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 14 | TIANCHI MONSTER 後段發力 V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 75.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 8 | THE ROCK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 12 | C P BRAVE TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 14 | 79.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 5 | SAVAQUIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | CALIFORNIA TEN 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 2 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL B-/CP1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | BEAUTYVERSE | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 3 | KEEFY | 18.4% | 5.42 | 3 |
| 3 | 10 | PACKING TREADMILL | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 5 | SAVAQUIN | 5.8% | 17.38 | 12 |
| 5 | 11 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.3% | 18.94 | 13 |
| 6 | 7 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.4% | 22.98 | 11 |
| 7 | 6 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.2% | 23.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 8 | THE ROCK | 4.1% | 24.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 4 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.5% | 28.53 | 2 |
| 10 | 14 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 3.4% | 29.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 1 | BUTTERFIELD | 2.4% | 41.02 | 7 |
| 12 | 2 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 2.3% | 42.56 | 14 |
| 13 | 12 | C P BRAVE | 1.7% | 59.84 | 10 |
| 14 | 13 | FIND MY LOVE | 0.6% | 156.65 | 6 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 22
PLACE
1 17
4 12
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,4 43
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 22.5
1,9 62.5
4,9 34.5
FORECAST
4,1 58
TIERCE
4,1,9 321
TRIO
1,4,9 103
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 234
QUARTET
4,1,9,13 1,859
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 17
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 19.5
12/4 41