Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 17:13
Race 9
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL Closed strongly SR 1.35.75 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H T Mo · K W Lui | H T Mo | K W Lui | 1 | 5.6 | HD |
| 2 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 6 | 16.0 | HD |
| 3 | 0 | KEEFY K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 13 | 2.8 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B H N Wong · F C Lor | H N Wong | F C Lor | 4 | 22.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE Closed strongly H1/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 3 | 3.3 | 2 |
| 7 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD Closed strongly CP/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 2 | 42.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER Closed strongly V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 12 | 75.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | THE ROCK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 55.0 | 4 |
| 10 | 0 | C P BRAVE TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 14 | 79.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER V M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 5 | 14.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | SAVAQUIN A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 9 | 27.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT K Teetan · A S Cruz | K Teetan | A S Cruz | 10 | 19.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL B-/CP1 L Currie · J Size | L Currie | J Size | 8 | 39.0 | 6-1/4 |
| — | 0 | FIND MY LOVE Closed strongly M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | — | 44.0 | 3-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 9 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. PACKING TREADMILL, ridden by H T Mo and trained by K W Lui, won by HD, with FANTASTIC TREASURE second and KEEFY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.8 favourite KEEFY finished 3rd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTYVERSE | 27.3% | 3.66 | 5 |
| 2 | 0 | KEEFY | 18.4% | 5.42 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | PACKING TREADMILL | 16.6% | 6.01 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SAVAQUIN | 5.8% | 17.38 | 12 |
| 5 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.3% | 18.94 | 13 |
| 6 | 0 | CELESTIAL POWER | 4.4% | 22.98 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 4.2% | 23.99 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | THE ROCK | 4.1% | 24.56 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FANTASTIC TREASURE | 3.5% | 28.53 | 2 |
| 10 | 0 | TIANCHI MONSTER | 3.4% | 29.43 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | BUTTERFIELD | 2.4% | 41.02 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 2.3% | 42.56 | 14 |
| 13 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 1.7% | 59.84 | 10 |
| 14 | 0 | FIND MY LOVE | 0.6% | 156.65 | — |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 22
PLACE
1 17
4 12
9 22.5
QUINELLA
1,4 43
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 22.5
1,9 62.5
4,9 34.5
FORECAST
4,1 58
TIERCE
4,1,9 321
TRIO
1,4,9 103
FIRST 4
1,4,9,13 234
QUARTET
4,1,9,13 1,859
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 17
A2 —
A3 —
8TH DOUBLE
12/1 19.5
12/4 41