Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 14:31
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT Closed strongly B 1.21.78 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 8 | 8.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY Closed strongly CP1 K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 2 | 32.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | FIRE BALL H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 3 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON Closed strongly V K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 12 | 16.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | REGENT GLORY Closed strongly CP- L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 7.7 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER TT1 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 10 | 6.2 | 3 |
| 7 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB C Y Ho · K H Ting | C Y Ho | K H Ting | 5 | 8.1 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | INFINITE POWER Led early CP M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 1 | 8.8 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | IRON WILL Closed strongly B/TT R Maia · C S Shum | R Maia | C S Shum | 6 | 187.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER B K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 11 | 42.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | RED TITAN H-/TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 13 | 3.5 | 4-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | SOARING TOWER Closed strongly B V Borges · W Y So | V Borges | W Y So | 9 | 50.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 13 | 0 | OUTPACER B M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 4 | 210.0 | 33-1/4 |
| 14 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD L Currie · T P Yung | L Currie | T P Yung | 7 | 24.0 | 40-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. COMPASSION SPIRIT, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with RUN RUN BUDDY second and FIRE BALL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.5 favourite RED TITAN finished 11th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | RED TITAN | 18.4% | 5.43 | 11 |
| 2 | 0 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 10.2% | 9.83 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | PROUD DRAGON | 9.8% | 10.20 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | FIRE BALL | 7.8% | 12.85 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | SOLAR PARTNER | 7.6% | 13.12 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | COMPASSION SPIRIT | 7.6% | 13.14 | 1 |
| 7 | 0 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 7.4% | 13.51 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | INFINITE POWER | 7.0% | 14.39 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | RED BRICK FIGHTER | 6.4% | 15.74 | 10 |
| 10 | 0 | LEATHER VANGUARD | 5.3% | 18.93 | 14 |
| 11 | 0 | SOARING TOWER | 5.1% | 19.78 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | REGENT GLORY | 4.6% | 21.61 | 5 |
| 13 | 0 | IRON WILL | 1.9% | 51.67 | 9 |
| 14 | 0 | OUTPACER | 1.0% | 102.39 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 80
PLACE
1 23.5
10 98
12 29.5
QUINELLA
1,10 1,664
QUINELLA PLACE
1,10 475.5
1,12 106
10,12 453
FORECAST
1,10 3,393
TIERCE
1,10,12 21,617
TRIO
1,10,12 3,465
FIRST 4
1,5,10,12 8,034
QUARTET
1,10,12,5 195,737
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,6,14/1,10,12 49,440
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24.5
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE
14/1 892.5
14/10 645