Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 16:06
Race 7
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MARADO Closed strongly B 1.21.44 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 5 | 2.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 0 | WINNER METHOD Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 9 | 6.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR Led early V1 H W Lai · F C Lor | H W Lai | F C Lor | 7 | 17.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE H1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 4 | 17.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | LET'S DO IT Closed strongly M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 8 | 6.6 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | ERIMO Closed strongly B K C Leung · J Size | K C Leung | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 7 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO Closed strongly K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 12 | 21.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER HERO XB/TT V Borges · A S Cruz | V Borges | A S Cruz | 10 | 35.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE TT1 C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 2 | 12.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 0 | YEABOI C Wong · C H Yip | C Wong | C H Yip | 11 | 343.0 | 7 |
| 14 | 0 | CHARMANDER B/XB/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 13 | 123.0 | 8-1/4 |
| — | 0 | IVY LEAGUE SR-/B1/TT H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | — | 208.0 | 5-1/4 |
| — | 0 | SETANTA B/TT M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | — | 12.0 | 5-1/2 |
| — | 0 | KASA PAPA Closed strongly TT A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | — | 73.0 | 6 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 3 over 1400m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. MARADO, ridden by Z Purton and trained by P C Ng, won by 1-1/4, with WINNER METHOD second and MAJESTIC COLOUR third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.3 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | MARADO | 35.2% | 2.84 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | ERIMO | 13.5% | 7.39 | 6 |
| 3 | 0 | LET'S DO IT | 8.2% | 12.14 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | GOLDEN ARTIE | 7.9% | 12.61 | 4 |
| 5 | 0 | WINNER METHOD | 7.1% | 14.18 | 2 |
| 6 | 0 | SETANTA | 6.2% | 16.15 | — |
| 7 | 0 | PACKING HURRICANE | 4.7% | 21.36 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | MASTER HERO | 4.5% | 22.00 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | CHARMANDER | 3.5% | 28.23 | 14 |
| 10 | 0 | KASA PAPA | 2.6% | 38.99 | — |
| 11 | 0 | MAJESTIC COLOUR | 2.5% | 39.22 | 3 |
| 12 | 0 | MASTER TORNADO | 2.1% | 47.34 | 7 |
| 13 | 0 | IVY LEAGUE | 1.0% | 100.12 | — |
| 14 | 0 | YEABOI | 0.8% | 119.02 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 192
PLACE
1 54.5
2 18.5
5 23.5
QUINELLA
1,2 623.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 197.5
1,5 251
2,5 84.5
FORECAST
1,2 1,030
TIERCE
1,2,5 7,579
TRIO
1,2,5 1,159
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 2,622
QUARTET
1,2,5,12 79,536
All pools (3 more)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
4,9,13/1,2,5 175,890
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 32.5
6TH DOUBLE
4/1 1,037
4/2 38.5