Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD (AWT) 1650m 13 runners

Result

Official · 1.37.73
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE Closed strongly 1.37.73 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · T P Yung 1 2.2 1-1/4
2 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE Led early XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui 6 4.4 1-1/4
3 0 HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B K C Leung · F C Lor 7 7.3 2-1/4
4 0 YES WE CAN Closed strongly B/TT V Borges · T P Yung 9 19.0 3-1/4
5 0 COPARTNER ELITES Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 10 15.0 5
6 0 AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT H W Lai · J Size 4 41.0 5-1/4
8 0 ROYAL BOMB V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 13 13.0 6-3/4
9 0 SO WE JOY Closed strongly H/XB/TT L Currie · C W Chang 8 19.0 7
10 0 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H1/TT1 K H Chan · A S Cruz 14 96.0 8-1/4
11 0 SNAFFLES Closed strongly M L Yeung · D A Hayes 12 36.0 12
12 0 EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor 11 52.0 13-3/4
13 0 SUPER KING B-/XB1/SR2/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte 2 39.0 18-1/2
14 0 PRECISE EXPRESS H/P2 A Hamelin · P F Yiu 3 130.0 24-1/2
— 0 SAMARKAND H M F Poon · P C Ng — 26.0 6-1/2

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 3 over 1650m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. HANDSOME TWELVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by T P Yung, won by 1-1/4, with CHANCHENG PRINCE second and HAVA NAGEELA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 2.2 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. HANDSOME TWELVE—2. CHANCHENG PRINCE+1.25L3. HAVA NAGEELA+2.25L4. YES WE CAN+3.25L5. COPARTNER ELITES+5L6. AMAZING TEENS+5.25L8. ROYAL BOMB+6.75L9. SO WE JOY+7L10. LA CITY BLANCHE+8.25L11. SNAFFLES+12L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick HANDSOME TWELVE (52.9%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HANDSOME TWELVE 52.9% 1.89 1
2 0 ROYAL BOMB 6.1% 16.30 8
3 0 COPARTNER ELITES 6.0% 16.64 5
4 0 YES WE CAN 6.0% 16.75 4
5 0 CHANCHENG PRINCE 5.6% 17.80 2
6 0 HAVA NAGEELA 5.1% 19.74 3
7 0 AMAZING TEENS 4.1% 24.32 6
8 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 3.2% 31.61 10
9 0 SO WE JOY 2.8% 35.93 9
10 0 PRECISE EXPRESS 2.3% 44.02 14
11 0 EVERYONE'S VICTORY 2.0% 49.91 12
12 0 SNAFFLES 1.6% 63.40 11
13 0 SAMARKAND 1.4% 72.38 —
14 0 SUPER KING 1.0% 96.77 13
HANDSOME TWELVE — wonROYAL BOMBCOPARTNER ELITESYES WE CANCHANCHENG PRINCEHAVA NAGEELAAMAZING TEENSLA CITY BLANCHESO WE JOYPRECISE EXPRESSEVERYONE'S VICTORYSNAFFLESSAMARKANDSUPER KING

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

12 23

PLACE

3 19.5

4 55.5

12 13

QUINELLA

3,12 91

QUINELLA PLACE

3,4 192

3,12 38

4,12 103.5

FORECAST

12,3 123

TIERCE

12,3,4 2,173

TRIO

3,4,12 615

FIRST 4

3,4,11,12 1,528

QUARTET

12,3,4,11 19,205

All pools (2 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 19

A3 —

7TH DOUBLE

1/3 460.5

1/12 726.5

← Race 7 Race 9 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1650m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data