沙田 · 2022-12-24 · 16:38
第 8場
2022-12-24沙田第8場，Class 3，途程1650米，跑道評為GOOD (AWT)。由Z Purton策騎、T P Yung訓練的HANDSOME TWELVE勝出，贏出1-1/4。CHANCHENG PRINCE獲得亞軍；HAVA NAGEELA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以2.2倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE 後段發力 1.37.73 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · T P Yung | Z Purton | T P Yung | 1 | 2.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 2 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE 早段領放 XB/TT R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 6 | 4.4 | 1-1/4 |
| 3 | 9 | HAVA NAGEELA 後段發力 B K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 7 | 7.3 | 2-1/4 |
| 4 | 13 | YES WE CAN 後段發力 B/TT V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 9 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 5 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES 後段發力 CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum | L Hewitson | C S Shum | 10 | 15.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 14 | AMAZING TEENS H/P/TT H W Lai · J Size | H W Lai | J Size | 4 | 41.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 7 | 11 | SAMARKAND H M F Poon · P C Ng | M F Poon | P C Ng | 5 | 26.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 8 | ROYAL BOMB V/TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 13.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 9 | 2 | SO WE JOY 後段發力 H/XB/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 8 | 19.0 | 7 |
| 10 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE 後段發力 H1/TT1 K H Chan · A S Cruz | K H Chan | A S Cruz | 14 | 96.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 11 | 6 | SNAFFLES 後段發力 M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 12 | 36.0 | 12 |
| 12 | 12 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY H/TT H Bentley · F C Lor | H Bentley | F C Lor | 11 | 52.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 10 | SUPER KING B-/XB1/SR2/TT K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 2 | 39.0 | 18-1/2 |
| 14 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS H/P2 A Hamelin · P F Yiu | A Hamelin | P F Yiu | 3 | 130.0 | 24-1/2 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | HANDSOME TWELVE | 52.9% | 1.89 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | ROYAL BOMB | 6.1% | 16.30 | 8 |
| 3 | 7 | COPARTNER ELITES | 6.0% | 16.64 | 5 |
| 4 | 13 | YES WE CAN | 6.0% | 16.75 | 4 |
| 5 | 1 | CHANCHENG PRINCE | 5.6% | 17.80 | 2 |
| 6 | 9 | HAVA NAGEELA | 5.1% | 19.74 | 3 |
| 7 | 14 | AMAZING TEENS | 4.1% | 24.32 | 6 |
| 8 | 3 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 3.2% | 31.61 | 10 |
| 9 | 2 | SO WE JOY | 2.8% | 35.93 | 9 |
| 10 | 5 | PRECISE EXPRESS | 2.3% | 44.02 | 14 |
| 11 | 12 | EVERYONE'S VICTORY | 2.0% | 49.91 | 12 |
| 12 | 6 | SNAFFLES | 1.6% | 63.40 | 11 |
| 13 | 11 | SAMARKAND | 1.4% | 72.38 | 7 |
| 14 | 10 | SUPER KING | 1.0% | 96.77 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 23
PLACE
3 19.5
4 55.5
12 13
QUINELLA
3,12 91
QUINELLA PLACE
3,4 192
3,12 38
4,12 103.5
FORECAST
12,3 123
TIERCE
12,3,4 2,173
TRIO
3,4,12 615
FIRST 4
3,4,11,12 1,528
QUARTET
12,3,4,11 19,205
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 19
A2 —
7TH DOUBLE
1/3 460.5
1/12 726.5