沙田 · 2022-12-24 · 13:31
第 2場
2022-12-24沙田第2場，Class 5，途程1600米，跑道評為GOOD TO FIRM。由H Bentley策騎、D J Whyte訓練的BOYS PARTY勝出，贏出N。JOY MASTER獲得亞軍；THIS IS CHARISMA獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.1倍大熱門SUNNY BABY跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | BOYS PARTY 後段發力 SR1 1.35.56 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 11 | 6.5 | N |
| 2 | 14 | JOY MASTER 後段發力 B/TT A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 3 | 11.0 | N |
| 3 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA 後段發力 V/TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 5 | 14.0 | N |
| 4 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN 後段發力 B/TT K Teetan · K L Man | K Teetan | K L Man | 8 | 8.4 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 3 | SUNNY BABY 後段發力 CP2 Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 12 | 4.1 | 1 |
| 6 | 2 | STAR OF GLORY 早段領放 B K H Chan · C W Chang | K H Chan | C W Chang | 9 | 8.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 5 | YOUNG EXPLORER 後段發力 B/H V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 10 | 93.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 8 | 13 | DAILY BEAUTY 後段發力 V C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 13 | 11.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON V1/TT R Maia · J Richards | R Maia | J Richards | 4 | 16.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 10 | 8 | SHINY TWO 後段發力 B/XB L Hewitson · P F Yiu | L Hewitson | P F Yiu | 14 | 52.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 11 | 9 | WINNING STEED B/TT- H Bowman · C H Yip | H Bowman | C H Yip | 7 | 6.7 | 3-1/4 |
| 12 | 1 | RUN DES RUN TT C Wong · T P Yung | C Wong | T P Yung | 1 | 27.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 13 | 6 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE B H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 2 | 123.0 | 8 |
| 14 | 11 | TURF BRILLIANT B K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 6 | 24.0 | 10 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | RUN DES RUN | 15.6% | 6.40 | 12 |
| 2 | 3 | SUNNY BABY | 13.9% | 7.17 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | DAILY BEAUTY | 12.3% | 8.14 | 8 |
| 4 | 9 | WINNING STEED | 8.8% | 11.37 | 11 |
| 5 | 2 | STAR OF GLORY | 8.4% | 11.86 | 6 |
| 6 | 12 | BOYS PARTY | 7.9% | 12.66 | 1 |
| 7 | 4 | GO GO SIXTEEN | 7.7% | 13.03 | 4 |
| 8 | 11 | TURF BRILLIANT | 5.8% | 17.20 | 14 |
| 9 | 8 | SHINY TWO | 5.1% | 19.72 | 10 |
| 10 | 10 | THIS IS CHARISMA | 4.0% | 24.82 | 3 |
| 11 | 7 | PRIDE OF DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.44 | 9 |
| 12 | 5 | YOUNG EXPLORER | 2.6% | 38.07 | 7 |
| 13 | 14 | JOY MASTER | 2.5% | 39.72 | 2 |
| 14 | 6 | NEW ASIA ADVANCE | 1.5% | 66.48 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
12 65
PLACE
10 43
12 23
14 37
QUINELLA
12,14 397.5
QUINELLA PLACE
10,12 181.5
10,14 252
12,14 145
FORECAST
12,14 738
TIERCE
12,14,10 6,987
TRIO
10,12,14 2,486
FIRST 4
4,10,12,14 2,426
QUARTET
12,14,10,4 48,696
全部彩池（另 2 項）
1ST DOUBLE
7/12 421
7/14 262
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 20.5