Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2022-12-24 · 15:03

Race 5

Class 4 GOOD TO FIRM 2000m Course B 14 runners

Result

Official · 2.01.94
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 BRIGHT KID Closed strongly B/XB 2.01.94 H Bentley · C Fownes 2 5.5 1-1/2
2 0 KOWLOON GREAT Closed strongly CP/TT L Hewitson · C S Shum 10 16.0 1-1/2
3 0 WONDER YEARS Closed strongly B/XB/TT A Hamelin · D J Whyte 5 12.0 1-3/4
4 0 ROBOT WARRIOR Closed strongly B C Y Ho · P F Yiu 14 14.0 2-3/4
5 0 VINCY Closed strongly K Teetan · C H Yip 11 11.0 3-1/4
6 0 WINNING STEPS Closed strongly H/PC V Borges · P C Ng 8 52.0 3-3/4
7 0 CHATER PINS Closed strongly SR M F Poon · D A Hayes 7 12.0 4-1/2
8 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA B/TT Z Purton · P C Ng 6 5.8 6-1/2
9 0 RIGHT AS RAIN B L Currie · D J Hall 4 3.9 9-1/4
10 0 FLYING MIGHTY B/TT K C Leung · D J Hall 1 52.0 10
11 0 RED ELYSEES B/TT M L Yeung · K L Man 12 24.0 14-3/4
12 0 CIRCUIT ELITE TT K H Chan · A S Cruz 13 39.0 19-1/4
13 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL B/TT R Maia · T P Yung 3 8.6 21-1/4
14 0 LUCKY VICTOR Led early B/TT H N Wong · K H Ting 9 160.0 25-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2022-12-24 was Class 4 over 2000m, run on GOOD TO FIRM going. BRIGHT KID, ridden by H Bentley and trained by C Fownes, won by 1-1/2, with KOWLOON GREAT second and WONDER YEARS third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.9 favourite RIGHT AS RAIN finished 9th.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. BRIGHT KID—2. KOWLOON GREAT+1.5L3. WONDER YEARS+1.75L4. ROBOT WARRIOR+2.75L5. VINCY+3.25L6. WINNING STEPS+3.75L7. CHATER PINS+4.5L8. KUNGFUMASTER PANDA+6.5L9. RIGHT AS RAIN+9.25L10. FLYING MIGHTY+10L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick KUNGFUMASTER PANDA (21.9%) finished 8th — the winner BRIGHT KID was rated #3. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 KUNGFUMASTER PANDA 21.9% 4.57 8
2 0 RIGHT AS RAIN 11.3% 8.85 9
3 0 BRIGHT KID 10.7% 9.30 1
4 0 KOWLOON GREAT 7.9% 12.61 2
5 0 CHATER PINS 7.6% 13.15 7
6 0 CIRCUIT ELITE 6.8% 14.80 12
7 0 WONDER YEARS 6.3% 15.97 3
8 0 VINCY 6.1% 16.41 5
9 0 RED ELYSEES 4.5% 22.34 11
10 0 ROBOT WARRIOR 4.3% 23.37 4
11 0 PERFECT MARYKNOLL 4.2% 23.74 13
12 0 WINNING STEPS 3.3% 30.19 6
13 0 LUCKY VICTOR 2.7% 37.29 14
14 0 FLYING MIGHTY 2.5% 40.32 10
KUNGFUMASTER PANDARIGHT AS RAINBRIGHT KID — wonKOWLOON GREATCHATER PINSCIRCUIT ELITEWONDER YEARSVINCYRED ELYSEESROBOT WARRIORPERFECT MARYKNOLLWINNING STEPSLUCKY VICTORFLYING MIGHTY

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

No dividends for this race in our data.