Happy Valley · 2022-12-28 · 20:16
Race 4
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | G ONE EXCELLENT B/TT 0.57.49 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) C Y Ho · C S Shum | C Y Ho | C S Shum | 5 | 2.8 | N |
| 2 | 0 | TRONIC MIGHTY CP/XB/TT Z Purton · J Richards | Z Purton | J Richards | 6 | 2.6 | N |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL PRINCE H-/SR-/B2/TT Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 3 | 6.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | BOOMING WELL B1 H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 4 | 65.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 0 | RAGING BLAZE TT S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 7 | 11.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | EUROMISSILE H-/B/XB H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 2 | 15.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 7 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR H/XB M F Poon · T P Yung | M F Poon | T P Yung | 1 | 74.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLIT OF A SECOND CP A Hamelin · W Y So | A Hamelin | W Y So | 12 | 64.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 9 | 27.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 10 | 0 | STAR OF WUYI B/TT K Teetan · Y S Tsui | K Teetan | Y S Tsui | 11 | 18.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER CLASS H/P/XB C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 10 | 58.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CARRY THE DIAMOND PC L Ferraris · R Gibson | L Ferraris | R Gibson | 8 | 66.0 | 11-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 4 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-28 was Class 5 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. G ONE EXCELLENT, ridden by C Y Ho and trained by C S Shum, won by N, with TRONIC MIGHTY second and COLOURFUL PRINCE third. The 2.6 favourite TRONIC MIGHTY finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | TRONIC MIGHTY | 28.3% | 3.53 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | G ONE EXCELLENT | 22.6% | 4.42 | 1 |
| 3 | 0 | COLOURFUL PRINCE | 11.9% | 8.41 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | RAGING BLAZE | 11.3% | 8.87 | 5 |
| 5 | 0 | EUROMISSILE | 6.4% | 15.54 | 6 |
| 6 | 0 | STAR OF WUYI | 4.6% | 21.52 | 10 |
| 7 | 0 | TREASURE OF FIELD | 3.6% | 27.74 | 9 |
| 8 | 0 | SPLIT OF A SECOND | 3.0% | 33.18 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | SUPER CLASS | 2.5% | 40.73 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | BOOMING WELL | 2.3% | 43.60 | 4 |
| 11 | 0 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 1.7% | 57.35 | 7 |
| 12 | 0 | CARRY THE DIAMOND | 1.7% | 58.29 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 28.5
PLACE
1 12.5
2 23
9 11
QUINELLA
1,9 38.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 38
1,9 19
2,9 34.5
FORECAST
1,9 105
TIERCE
1,9,2 335
TRIO
1,2,9 65
FIRST 4
1,2,9,11 479
QUARTET
1,9,2,11 5,554
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 13.5
3RD DOUBLE
7/1 187
7/9 34