Happy Valley · 2022-12-28 · 20:47
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT Closed strongly SR/TT 1.40.38 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · C Fownes | K Teetan | C Fownes | 7 | 5.3 | SH |
| 2 | 0 | STAR CONTACT Closed strongly CP/TT Z Purton · D A Hayes | Z Purton | D A Hayes | 9 | 2.1 | SH |
| 3 | 0 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly BO/XB M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 3 | 7.7 | 3 |
| 4 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT Closed strongly B/TT H Bowman · C S Shum | H Bowman | C S Shum | 5 | 5.6 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE Closed strongly V R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 8 | 15.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT Closed strongly B- H T Mo · Y S Tsui | H T Mo | Y S Tsui | 4 | 125.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | STARFIRE GEMS XB-/TT C Y Ho · J Richards | C Y Ho | J Richards | 6 | 41.0 | 5 |
| 8 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET H/PC/XB2/TT- K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 2 | 13.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO B-/TT1 S De Sousa · R Gibson | S De Sousa | R Gibson | 1 | 13.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 10 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS Closed strongly H/TT L Currie · C W Chang | L Currie | C W Chang | 11 | 226.0 | 15 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING MOON Led early CP M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 10 | 136.0 | 17-1/4 |
| — | 0 | CHIU CHOW BROTHER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. PERFECT TO GREAT, ridden by K Teetan and trained by C Fownes, won by SH, with STAR CONTACT second and GALLANT HERO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.1 favourite STAR CONTACT finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | SUNNY DELIGHT | 18.2% | 5.50 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | STAR CONTACT | 18.0% | 5.55 | 2 |
| 3 | 0 | PERFECT TO GREAT | 14.8% | 6.75 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | EQUILIBRIUM TURBO | 13.1% | 7.63 | 9 |
| 5 | 0 | GALLANT HERO | 12.1% | 8.26 | 3 |
| 6 | 0 | WINWIN THIRTYTHREE | 11.6% | 8.64 | 5 |
| 7 | 0 | BILLIONAIRE SECRET | 5.9% | 17.07 | 8 |
| 8 | 0 | STARFIRE GEMS | 2.2% | 45.40 | 7 |
| 9 | 0 | FORTUNE PRESIDENT | 1.8% | 55.24 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | BELL OF HAPPINESS | 1.3% | 79.19 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SMILING MOON | 1.1% | 93.35 | 11 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
10 53
PLACE
3 11
9 22.5
10 17
QUINELLA
3,10 67.5
QUINELLA PLACE
3,9 40
3,10 29.5
9,10 57
FORECAST
10,3 182
TIERCE
10,3,9 867
TRIO
3,9,10 137
FIRST 4
3,5,9,10 78
QUARTET
10,3,9,5 2,511
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,9/9>3,8,10 1,109
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 15.5
4TH DOUBLE
1/3,8 16
1/10 123