Happy Valley · 2022-12-28 · 21:16
Race 6
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | LEAN HERO Closed strongly CP2 1.40.58 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 4 | 21.0 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 1 | 7.5 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 0 | SPICY GRILL Closed strongly B/TT Z Purton · P C Ng | Z Purton | P C Ng | 10 | 4.3 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | THETA HEDGE Led early B/H/TT C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 3.0 | 3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS Closed strongly B/TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 5 | 46.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | SUPER BABY CP Y L Chung · P F Yiu | Y L Chung | P F Yiu | 8 | 22.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 7 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS H/P1 K C Leung · L Ho | K C Leung | L Ho | 3 | 5.6 | 3-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | AMAZING BOY P/TT S De Sousa · C W Chang | S De Sousa | C W Chang | 6 | 9.4 | 3-3/4 |
| 9 | 0 | BALLISTIC MAN Closed strongly H-/B/TT M L Yeung · K H Ting | M L Yeung | K H Ting | 7 | 160.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE Closed strongly V H Bentley · D J Hall | H Bentley | D J Hall | 12 | 48.0 | 3-3/4 |
| 11 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD TT A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 9 | 87.0 | 9-3/4 |
| 12 | 0 | BIG TWO H/SR/XB H Bowman · D J Whyte | H Bowman | D J Whyte | 11 | 11.0 | 10-1/4 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 6 at Happy Valley on 2022-12-28 was Class 4 over 1650m, run on GOOD going. LEAN HERO, ridden by K Teetan and trained by D A Hayes, won by 1/2, with COPARTNER ERA second and SPICY GRILL third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.0 favourite THETA HEDGE finished 4th.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | THETA HEDGE | 17.1% | 5.83 | 4 |
| 2 | 0 | AMAZING BOY | 14.5% | 6.90 | 8 |
| 3 | 0 | LEAN HERO | 14.1% | 7.08 | 1 |
| 4 | 0 | SPICY GRILL | 11.6% | 8.63 | 3 |
| 5 | 0 | UNITED ENDEAVORS | 11.3% | 8.87 | 7 |
| 6 | 0 | SUNNY AND GOLD | 7.1% | 14.17 | 11 |
| 7 | 0 | COPARTNER ERA | 6.9% | 14.51 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | BIG TWO | 6.8% | 14.80 | 12 |
| 9 | 0 | V CHEVALIERS | 3.6% | 27.87 | 5 |
| 10 | 0 | LUCKY MISSILE | 3.4% | 29.57 | 10 |
| 11 | 0 | SUPER BABY | 2.5% | 40.62 | 6 |
| 12 | 0 | BALLISTIC MAN | 1.2% | 80.92 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 219
PLACE
2 23
3 18
5 69
QUINELLA
2,5 1,082.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 67.5
2,5 280.5
3,5 190
FORECAST
5,2 1,820
TIERCE
5,2,3 8,851
TRIO
2,3,5 1,585
FIRST 4
2,3,5,12 914
QUARTET
5,2,3,12 31,170
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 31.5
A1 —
A3 —
5TH DOUBLE
10/2 82.5
10/5 716