Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 13:36
Race 2
Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 5 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. ASIAN ONE, ridden by S De Sousa and trained by J Richards, won by 1/2, with BEAUTY NOVA second and STAR OF YUEN LONG third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.7 favourite ACA POWER finished 5th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | ASIAN ONE Closed strongly XB/V1/TT 1.22.74 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) S De Sousa · J Richards | S De Sousa | J Richards | 11 | 9.6 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA Closed strongly TT Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 10 | 5.3 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG Closed strongly TT M F Poon · K L Man | M F Poon | K L Man | 7 | 4.9 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | ERNEST FEELING Closed strongly B/TT A Hamelin · R Gibson | A Hamelin | R Gibson | 12 | 36.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 3 | ACA POWER Closed strongly H H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 5 | 3.7 | 3-1/2 |
| 6 | 2 | EL VALIENTE Closed strongly TT K H Chan · C Fownes | K H Chan | C Fownes | 8 | 59.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 7 | 6 | WINS ALL B/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 8.1 | 6-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | SUPER KINGDOM Closed strongly B H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 13 | 42.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 9 | 12 | BUDDY SPIRIT B A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 3 | 29.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL B-/H/TT K Teetan · C W Chang | K Teetan | C W Chang | 14 | 8.1 | 9 |
| 11 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR H-/XB C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 4 | 60.0 | 10-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | BEST FOR YOU B K C Leung · Y S Tsui | K C Leung | Y S Tsui | 2 | 17.0 | 12-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | CALL ME LU Led early V-/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 9 | 33.0 | 22 |
| — | 5 | JACK WIN L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | BEAUTY NOVA | 22.5% | 4.45 | 2 |
| 2 | 4 | ASIAN ONE | 11.4% | 8.80 | 1 |
| 3 | 3 | ACA POWER | 11.2% | 8.97 | 5 |
| 4 | 6 | WINS ALL | 9.1% | 10.96 | 7 |
| 5 | 12 | BUDDY SPIRIT | 7.5% | 13.26 | 9 |
| 6 | 11 | THE GOOD DEAL | 7.2% | 13.94 | 10 |
| 7 | 1 | STAR OF YUEN LONG | 6.7% | 14.99 | 3 |
| 8 | 2 | EL VALIENTE | 6.4% | 15.72 | 6 |
| 9 | 8 | BEST FOR YOU | 5.1% | 19.51 | 12 |
| 10 | 10 | CIRCUIT SPLENDOR | 4.8% | 20.82 | 11 |
| 11 | 13 | ERNEST FEELING | 3.1% | 32.22 | 4 |
| 12 | 9 | SUPER KINGDOM | 2.7% | 37.08 | 8 |
| 13 | 14 | CALL ME LU | 2.4% | 41.85 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 96.5
PLACE
1 20
4 28
7 19.5
QUINELLA
4,7 218
QUINELLA PLACE
1,4 67.5
1,7 66
4,7 80
FORECAST
4,7 476
TIERCE
4,7,1 2,641
TRIO
1,4,7 440
FIRST 4
1,4,7,13 2,810
QUARTET
4,7,1,13 43,998
All pools (3 more)
1ST DOUBLE
2/4 499
2/7 34.5
1ST DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,13/1,4,7 408,371
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 —
A3 32.5