Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 16:08
Race 7
Race 7 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 3 over 1000m, run on GOOD going. WE ARE HERO, ridden by H Bowman and trained by K L Man, won by 1-3/4, with LUCKY FUN second and PLEASANT ENDEAVOR third. Victory came as the 2.0 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | WE ARE HERO V/TT 0.57.51 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) H Bowman · K L Man | H Bowman | K L Man | 6 | 2.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 2 | 10 | LUCKY FUN TT- M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 11 | 138.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR B K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 8 | 12.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 8 | KA YING SPIRIT B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 16.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS SR1/TT1 Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 14 | 3.6 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION H1/TT1 V Borges · T P Yung | V Borges | T P Yung | 3 | 59.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 7 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR B C Y Ho · D A Hayes | C Y Ho | D A Hayes | 7 | 16.0 | 4 |
| 8 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE B/TT K H Chan · D J Hall | K H Chan | D J Hall | 12 | 11.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 3 | MAN STAR V L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 13 | 96.0 | 5 |
| 10 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ B/H Y L Chung · D J Whyte | Y L Chung | D J Whyte | 1 | 14.0 | 6 |
| 11 | 12 | TAJ DRAGON C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 5 | 48.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 12 | 11 | SCOTCH TYCOON B L Hewitson · K W Lui | L Hewitson | K W Lui | 2 | 99.0 | 7-3/4 |
| 13 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS B/TT H N Wong · Y S Tsui | H N Wong | Y S Tsui | 4 | 135.0 | 8-1/2 |
| — | 14 | SAVVY DELIGHT K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | VICTORY MOMENTS | 22.0% | 4.54 | 5 |
| 2 | 7 | WE ARE HERO | 17.0% | 5.88 | 1 |
| 3 | 5 | PLEASANT ENDEAVOR | 11.2% | 8.89 | 3 |
| 4 | 2 | METRO WARRIOR | 9.3% | 10.80 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | EQUALETTA BLITZ | 9.0% | 11.07 | 10 |
| 6 | 8 | KA YING SPIRIT | 7.2% | 13.86 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | MAN STAR | 5.5% | 18.19 | 9 |
| 8 | 4 | QUADRUPLE DOUBLE | 4.8% | 20.95 | 8 |
| 9 | 11 | SCOTCH TYCOON | 4.0% | 24.78 | 12 |
| 10 | 12 | TAJ DRAGON | 3.8% | 26.25 | 11 |
| 11 | 6 | HAPPY MISSION | 2.7% | 37.21 | 6 |
| 12 | 10 | LUCKY FUN | 2.2% | 46.45 | 2 |
| 13 | 13 | EIGHT TRIGRAMS | 1.2% | 81.67 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
7 20
PLACE
5 23
7 12
10 217
QUINELLA
7,10 1,290
QUINELLA PLACE
5,7 41
5,10 1,124
7,10 373.5
FORECAST
7,10 1,312
TIERCE
7,10,5 9,954
TRIO
5,7,10 3,026
FIRST 4
5,7,8,10 5,366
QUARTET
7,10,5,8 83,415
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A3 —
A2 —
6TH DOUBLE
6/7,14 43.5
6/10 586