Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 15:06
Race 5
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. D STAR, ridden by Y L Chung and trained by A S Cruz, won by HD, with JOYFUL GENIUS second and SIXTH GENERATION third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 4.6 favourite JOYFUL GENIUS finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | D STAR Closed strongly B/H/TT 1.23.26 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL GENIUS Closed strongly Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | HD |
| 3 | 14 | SIXTH GENERATION Closed strongly H/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 10 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SPLENDID LIVING Led early TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE Closed strongly K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | DURHAM STAR Closed strongly B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | UNPRESUMING B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT Closed strongly B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 4 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIRE BALL R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY PC-/TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 8 | 54.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS Closed strongly CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 113.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | NUNCHUKS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 60.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 10.4% | 9.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | DURHAM STAR | 8.9% | 11.19 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY | 7.2% | 13.85 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | NUNCHUKS | 6.7% | 14.87 | 13 |
| 8 | 2 | UNPRESUMING | 6.1% | 16.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | FIRE BALL | 5.6% | 17.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | SPLENDID LIVING | 5.2% | 19.16 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | D STAR | 4.6% | 21.67 | 1 |
| 12 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY | 3.7% | 26.69 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | FLYING SWORD | 2.6% | 38.21 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS | 0.8% | 131.53 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 176.5
PLACE
9 46
12 17
14 27
QUINELLA
9,12 433
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 157
9,14 213
12,14 68
FORECAST
9,12 797
TIERCE
9,12,14 9,291
TRIO
9,12,14 1,116
FIRST 4
9,12,13,14 1,311
QUARTET
9,12,14,13 49,237
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/9 21,716
8/12 1,819.5