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Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FAST BUCK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1, with SMILING COLLECTOR second and HOLY POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Result

Official · 1.22.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 6 FAST BUCK Closed strongly B 1.22.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 6 3.1 1
2 8 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting 9 17.0 1
3 2 HOLY POWER Closed strongly B/XB L Currie · J Richards 8 19.0 1-1/2
4 5 WAR WEAPON Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So 10 6.9 2
5 1 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall 7 5.5 2-1/4
6 4 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B H Bowman · T P Yung 13 8.6 4
7 3 FUNCTION PATCH H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui 4 38.0 5-3/4
8 7 KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 11.0 5-3/4
9 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H K C Leung · P C Ng 1 28.0 8
10 14 ALL IS READY B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu 2 53.0 12-1/2
11 13 MY INTELLIGENT Led early V-/TT K Teetan · L Ho 5 10.0 12-3/4
12 9 FLYING GALLOP Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum 14 125.0 13-3/4
13 11 GENEROUS FRIEND R Maia · C H Yip 3 184.0 22-3/4
14 12 BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor 12 13.0 25-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAST BUCK—2. SMILING COLLECTOR+1L3. HOLY POWER+1.5L4. WAR WEAPON+2L5. LET'S DO IT+2.25L6. SPARKY STAR+4L7. FUNCTION PATCH+5.75L8. KILLER INSTINCT+5.75L9. STARSHIP EIGHTY+8L10. ALL IS READY+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FAST BUCK (25.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 6 FAST BUCK 25.0% 4.01 1
2 2 HOLY POWER 10.1% 9.89 3
3 1 LET'S DO IT 8.9% 11.27 5
4 7 KILLER INSTINCT 8.5% 11.83 8
5 5 WAR WEAPON 8.2% 12.23 4
6 4 SPARKY STAR 7.5% 13.29 6
7 3 FUNCTION PATCH 6.7% 14.84 7
8 13 MY INTELLIGENT 6.5% 15.31 11
9 8 SMILING COLLECTOR 6.4% 15.65 2
10 12 BAEBAE TSOI 5.4% 18.64 14
11 14 ALL IS READY 2.6% 38.83 10
12 10 STARSHIP EIGHTY 2.4% 42.51 9
13 9 FLYING GALLOP 1.1% 88.85 12
14 11 GENEROUS FRIEND 0.8% 121.05 13
FAST BUCK — wonHOLY POWERLET'S DO ITKILLER INSTINCTWAR WEAPONSPARKY STARFUNCTION PATCHMY INTELLIGENTSMILING COLLECTORBAEBAE TSOIALL IS READYSTARSHIP EIGHTYFLYING GALLOPGENEROUS FRIEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 31

PLACE

2 52

6 16.5

8 48

QUINELLA

6,8 321.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 119.5

2,8 413

6,8 118

FORECAST

6,8 619

TIERCE

6,8,2 4,991

TRIO

2,6,8 1,570

FIRST 4

2,5,6,8 2,569

QUARTET

6,8,2,5 34,333

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 24

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

9,12,14/2,6,8 173,797

5TH DOUBLE

9/6 602

9/8 402

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,8/9,12,14/Any Combination 1,777,401

← Race 5 Race 7 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive from $99