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Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 15:36

Race 6

Class 4 GOOD 1400m Course A 14 runners

Result

Official · 1.22.95
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 0 FAST BUCK Closed strongly B 1.22.95 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size 6 3.1 1
2 0 SMILING COLLECTOR Closed strongly V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting 9 17.0 1
3 0 HOLY POWER Closed strongly B/XB L Currie · J Richards 8 19.0 1-1/2
4 0 WAR WEAPON Closed strongly TT L Hewitson · W Y So 10 6.9 2
5 0 LET'S DO IT Closed strongly CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall 7 5.5 2-1/4
6 0 SPARKY STAR Closed strongly B H Bowman · T P Yung 13 8.6 4
7 0 FUNCTION PATCH H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui 4 38.0 5-3/4
8 0 KILLER INSTINCT Closed strongly TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 11 11.0 5-3/4
9 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H K C Leung · P C Ng 1 28.0 8
10 0 ALL IS READY B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu 2 53.0 12-1/2
11 0 MY INTELLIGENT Led early V-/TT K Teetan · L Ho 5 10.0 12-3/4
12 0 FLYING GALLOP Closed strongly TT A Badel · C S Shum 14 125.0 13-3/4
13 0 GENEROUS FRIEND R Maia · C H Yip 3 184.0 22-3/4
14 0 BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor 12 13.0 25-1/4

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. FAST BUCK, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 1, with SMILING COLLECTOR second and HOLY POWER third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 3.1 favourite.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. FAST BUCK—2. SMILING COLLECTOR+1L3. HOLY POWER+1.5L4. WAR WEAPON+2L5. LET'S DO IT+2.25L6. SPARKY STAR+4L7. FUNCTION PATCH+5.75L8. KILLER INSTINCT+5.75L9. STARSHIP EIGHTY+8L10. ALL IS READY+12.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick FAST BUCK (25.0%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 FAST BUCK 25.0% 4.01 1
2 0 HOLY POWER 10.1% 9.89 3
3 0 LET'S DO IT 8.9% 11.27 5
4 0 KILLER INSTINCT 8.5% 11.83 8
5 0 WAR WEAPON 8.2% 12.23 4
6 0 SPARKY STAR 7.5% 13.29 6
7 0 FUNCTION PATCH 6.7% 14.84 7
8 0 MY INTELLIGENT 6.5% 15.31 11
9 0 SMILING COLLECTOR 6.4% 15.65 2
10 0 BAEBAE TSOI 5.4% 18.64 14
11 0 ALL IS READY 2.6% 38.83 10
12 0 STARSHIP EIGHTY 2.4% 42.51 9
13 0 FLYING GALLOP 1.1% 88.85 12
14 0 GENEROUS FRIEND 0.8% 121.05 13
FAST BUCK — wonHOLY POWERLET'S DO ITKILLER INSTINCTWAR WEAPONSPARKY STARFUNCTION PATCHMY INTELLIGENTSMILING COLLECTORBAEBAE TSOIALL IS READYSTARSHIP EIGHTYFLYING GALLOPGENEROUS FRIEND

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

6 31

PLACE

2 52

6 16.5

8 48

QUINELLA

6,8 321.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,6 119.5

2,8 413

6,8 118

FORECAST

6,8 619

TIERCE

6,8,2 4,991

TRIO

2,6,8 1,570

FIRST 4

2,5,6,8 2,569

QUARTET

6,8,2,5 34,333

All pools (4 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 24

A3 —

3RD DOUBLE TRIO

9,12,14/2,6,8 173,797

5TH DOUBLE

9/6 602

9/8 402

TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)

2,4,8/9,12,14/Any Combination 1,777,401

← Race 5 Race 7 → This meeting Draw bias · Sha Tin 1400m Need this as data? Full results archive — US$299 All results since 1977 as data