沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 15:36
第 6場
2023-01-15沙田第6場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Z Purton策騎、J Size訓練的FAST BUCK勝出，贏出1。SMILING COLLECTOR獲得亞軍；HOLY POWER獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。頭馬以3.1倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FAST BUCK 後段發力 B 1.22.95 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 6 | 3.1 | 1 |
| 2 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR 後段發力 V/XB L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 9 | 17.0 | 1 |
| 3 | 2 | HOLY POWER 後段發力 B/XB L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 8 | 19.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 5 | WAR WEAPON 後段發力 TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 10 | 6.9 | 2 |
| 5 | 1 | LET'S DO IT 後段發力 CP1 M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 7 | 5.5 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | SPARKY STAR 後段發力 B H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 13 | 8.6 | 4 |
| 7 | 3 | FUNCTION PATCH H/TT C L Chau · K W Lui | C L Chau | K W Lui | 4 | 38.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 8 | 7 | KILLER INSTINCT 後段發力 TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 11 | 11.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 9 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY B/H K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 1 | 28.0 | 8 |
| 10 | 14 | ALL IS READY B/XB H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 2 | 53.0 | 12-1/2 |
| 11 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT 早段領放 V-/TT K Teetan · L Ho | K Teetan | L Ho | 5 | 10.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 12 | 9 | FLYING GALLOP 後段發力 TT A Badel · C S Shum | A Badel | C S Shum | 14 | 125.0 | 13-3/4 |
| 13 | 11 | GENEROUS FRIEND R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 3 | 184.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 12 | BAEBAE TSOI CP/TT A Hamelin · F C Lor | A Hamelin | F C Lor | 12 | 13.0 | 25-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FAST BUCK | 25.0% | 4.01 | 1 |
| 2 | 2 | HOLY POWER | 10.1% | 9.89 | 3 |
| 3 | 1 | LET'S DO IT | 8.9% | 11.27 | 5 |
| 4 | 7 | KILLER INSTINCT | 8.5% | 11.83 | 8 |
| 5 | 5 | WAR WEAPON | 8.2% | 12.23 | 4 |
| 6 | 4 | SPARKY STAR | 7.5% | 13.29 | 6 |
| 7 | 3 | FUNCTION PATCH | 6.7% | 14.84 | 7 |
| 8 | 13 | MY INTELLIGENT | 6.5% | 15.31 | 11 |
| 9 | 8 | SMILING COLLECTOR | 6.4% | 15.65 | 2 |
| 10 | 12 | BAEBAE TSOI | 5.4% | 18.64 | 14 |
| 11 | 14 | ALL IS READY | 2.6% | 38.83 | 10 |
| 12 | 10 | STARSHIP EIGHTY | 2.4% | 42.51 | 9 |
| 13 | 9 | FLYING GALLOP | 1.1% | 88.85 | 12 |
| 14 | 11 | GENEROUS FRIEND | 0.8% | 121.05 | 13 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
6 31
PLACE
2 52
6 16.5
8 48
QUINELLA
6,8 321.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 119.5
2,8 413
6,8 118
FORECAST
6,8 619
TIERCE
6,8,2 4,991
TRIO
2,6,8 1,570
FIRST 4
2,5,6,8 2,569
QUARTET
6,8,2,5 34,333
全部彩池（另 4 項）
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A1 24
A3 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
9,12,14/2,6,8 173,797
5TH DOUBLE
9/6 602
9/8 402
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,4,8/9,12,14/Any Combination 1,777,401