沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 14:06
第 3場
2023-01-15沙田第3場，Class 4，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由C Y Ho策騎、C Fownes訓練的DARING PURSUIT勝出，贏出1/2。BRAVE DREAMS獲得亞軍；REGENCY BO BO獲得季軍。2.4倍大熱門BRAVE DREAMS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT TT 1.09.96 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 8 | 3.4 | 1/2 |
| 2 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS H-/TT Z Purton · A S Cruz | Z Purton | A S Cruz | 6 | 2.4 | 1/2 |
| 3 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO B/TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 10 | 8.9 | 4-1/4 |
| 4 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED TT A Hamelin · J Size | A Hamelin | J Size | 7 | 60.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 5 | 13 | MASTER OF LUCK H/TT H Bentley · K W Lui | H Bentley | K W Lui | 13 | 14.0 | 5 |
| 6 | 6 | GOLD TACK A Badel · A T Millard | A Badel | A T Millard | 12 | 103.0 | 5 |
| 7 | 7 | HUGE WIN K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 14 | 22.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 8 | 3 | SUPER WISE DRAGON TT L Ferraris · W Y So | L Ferraris | W Y So | 4 | 11.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 9 | 14 | TO INFINITY B/TT C Wong · J Richards | C Wong | J Richards | 2 | 59.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 11 | SUPER MAGIC CP-/B1 L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 9 | 100.0 | 6-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER H/SR M L Yeung · D J Whyte | M L Yeung | D J Whyte | 1 | 59.0 | 7 |
| 12 | 9 | INNO TECH WINNER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 81.0 | 8-1/4 |
| 13 | 4 | BROTHER PEARL B1 V Borges · C H Yip | V Borges | C H Yip | 11 | 167.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH B1/SR1/TT1 K C Leung · P C Ng | K C Leung | P C Ng | 3 | 9.2 | 10-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | BRAVE DREAMS | 28.0% | 3.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | REGENCY BO BO | 13.5% | 7.39 | 3 |
| 3 | 3 | SUPER WISE DRAGON | 12.4% | 8.07 | 8 |
| 4 | 13 | MASTER OF LUCK | 7.8% | 12.85 | 5 |
| 5 | 7 | HUGE WIN | 6.8% | 14.80 | 7 |
| 6 | 5 | DARING PURSUIT | 6.7% | 14.96 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | HURRY HURRY RICH | 6.1% | 16.41 | 14 |
| 8 | 9 | INNO TECH WINNER | 5.1% | 19.67 | 12 |
| 9 | 6 | GOLD TACK | 3.3% | 30.65 | 6 |
| 10 | 14 | TO INFINITY | 2.9% | 34.71 | 9 |
| 11 | 4 | BROTHER PEARL | 2.4% | 41.11 | 13 |
| 12 | 12 | FINGERS CROSSED | 2.3% | 44.36 | 4 |
| 13 | 10 | STRATHPEFFER | 1.6% | 61.71 | 11 |
| 14 | 11 | SUPER MAGIC | 1.2% | 83.15 | 10 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
5 34.5
PLACE
1 22.5
2 11.5
5 15
QUINELLA
2,5 54.5
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 34
1,5 53
2,5 25
FORECAST
5,2 93
TIERCE
5,2,1 394
TRIO
1,2,5 115
FIRST 4
1,2,5,12 1,067
QUARTET
5,2,1,12 9,121
全部彩池（另 2 項）
2ND DOUBLE
4/2 54
4/5 269.5
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A2 —
A1 14