沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 13:02
第 1場
2023-01-15沙田第1場，Class 5，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由A Badel策騎、C H Yip訓練的FIGHTING STAR勝出，贏出3/4。SPEEDSTAR獲得亞軍；LITTLE PLAYER獲得季軍。頭馬以4.0倍大熱姿態勝出。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FIGHTING STAR B2 1.10.42 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） A Badel · C H Yip | A Badel | C H Yip | 2 | 4.0 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | SPEEDSTAR B Y L Chung · D J Hall | Y L Chung | D J Hall | 6 | 29.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 13 | LITTLE PLAYER B/XB/TT A Hamelin · J Richards | A Hamelin | J Richards | 3 | 26.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 9 | EUROMISSILE B/XB Z Purton · C W Chang | Z Purton | C W Chang | 9 | 6.6 | 1-3/4 |
| 5 | 12 | ALLOY STAR B H Bentley · T P Yung | H Bentley | T P Yung | 4 | 8.8 | 2-3/4 |
| 6 | 8 | VIVA A LA H/P/TT M L Yeung · L Ho | M L Yeung | L Ho | 8 | 35.0 | 3 |
| 7 | 3 | CHIRON CP/TT L Currie · D A Hayes | L Currie | D A Hayes | 5 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER V L Ferraris · K H Ting | L Ferraris | K H Ting | 12 | 12.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 9 | 4 | COMPULSORY B/TT C L Chau · A T Millard | C L Chau | A T Millard | 7 | 9.4 | 5-3/4 |
| 10 | 5 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY B/XB K C Leung · R Gibson | K C Leung | R Gibson | 14 | 9.2 | 7 |
| 11 | 10 | PRINCE OF BON BON XB1/B2 M F Poon · Y S Tsui | M F Poon | Y S Tsui | 1 | 68.0 | 8-1/2 |
| 12 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED B-/SR2/TT L Hewitson · D J Whyte | L Hewitson | D J Whyte | 11 | 16.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | DASHING GENIUS TT S De Sousa · A S Cruz | S De Sousa | A S Cruz | 13 | 32.0 | 13 |
| 14 | 11 | TOWARDS SUCCESS XB2/TT K Teetan · W Y So | K Teetan | W Y So | 10 | 8.5 | 19 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | FIGHTING STAR | 12.8% | 7.79 | 1 |
| 2 | 9 | EUROMISSILE | 12.4% | 8.08 | 4 |
| 3 | 13 | LITTLE PLAYER | 11.2% | 8.91 | 3 |
| 4 | 6 | TAKE WHAT YOU NEED | 9.1% | 11.01 | 12 |
| 5 | 4 | COMPULSORY | 8.3% | 12.11 | 9 |
| 6 | 5 | SUNSHINE LEGENDARY | 7.2% | 13.89 | 10 |
| 7 | 11 | TOWARDS SUCCESS | 6.8% | 14.64 | 14 |
| 8 | 14 | DASHING GENIUS | 6.8% | 14.80 | 13 |
| 9 | 12 | ALLOY STAR | 5.5% | 18.14 | 5 |
| 10 | 3 | CHIRON | 5.4% | 18.38 | 7 |
| 11 | 7 | TAKINGUFURTHER | 4.9% | 20.30 | 8 |
| 12 | 10 | PRINCE OF BON BON | 4.7% | 21.39 | 11 |
| 13 | 8 | VIVA A LA | 3.2% | 31.12 | 6 |
| 14 | 1 | SPEEDSTAR | 1.7% | 60.25 | 2 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
2 40
PLACE
1 77
2 16.5
13 69.5
QUINELLA
1,2 501
QUINELLA PLACE
1,2 167
1,13 1,050.5
2,13 138.5
FORECAST
2,1 676
TIERCE
2,1,13 13,679
TRIO
1,2,13 4,329
FIRST 4
1,2,9,13 7,516
QUARTET
2,1,13,9 128,259
全部彩池（另 1 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 —
A1 25
A2 —