沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 15:06
第 5場
2023-01-15沙田第5場，Class 4，途程1400米，跑道評為GOOD。由Y L Chung策騎、A S Cruz訓練的D STAR勝出，贏出HD。JOYFUL GENIUS獲得亞軍；SIXTH GENERATION獲得季軍。頭馬後上力強。4.6倍大熱門JOYFUL GENIUS跑獲第2名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | D STAR 後段發力 B/H/TT 1.23.26 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 13 | 17.0 | HD |
| 2 | 12 | JOYFUL GENIUS 後段發力 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 7 | 4.6 | HD |
| 3 | 14 | SIXTH GENERATION 後段發力 H/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 10 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 4 | 13 | SPLENDID LIVING 早段領放 TT H Bentley · P F Yiu | H Bentley | P F Yiu | 12 | 6.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 5 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE 後段發力 K C Leung · W Y So | K C Leung | W Y So | 2 | 10.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 1 | 10.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 4 | DURHAM STAR 後段發力 B/XB K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 3 | 19.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 2 | UNPRESUMING B1 A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 6 | 13.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT 後段發力 B/TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 4 | 5.4 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 10 | FIRE BALL R Maia · C H Yip | R Maia | C H Yip | 14 | 23.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 11 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY PC-/TT H Bowman · C W Chang | H Bowman | C W Chang | 8 | 54.0 | 5-3/4 |
| 12 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS 後段發力 CP M L Yeung · D A Hayes | M L Yeung | D A Hayes | 9 | 113.0 | 6 |
| 13 | 5 | NUNCHUKS TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 5 | 23.0 | 7-1/4 |
| 14 | 6 | FLYING SWORD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting | A Hamelin | K H Ting | 11 | 60.0 | 7-1/2 |
| — | 0 | MILLENNIUM FALCON C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | — | — |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | JOYFUL GENIUS | 21.6% | 4.62 | 2 |
| 2 | 1 | HORSESAIN BOLT | 10.4% | 9.64 | 9 |
| 3 | 4 | DURHAM STAR | 8.9% | 11.19 | 7 |
| 4 | 7 | OWNERS' PRAISE | 8.9% | 11.21 | 5 |
| 5 | 14 | SIXTH GENERATION | 7.5% | 13.38 | 3 |
| 6 | 11 | SPEED FAY FAY | 7.2% | 13.85 | 6 |
| 7 | 5 | NUNCHUKS | 6.7% | 14.87 | 13 |
| 8 | 2 | UNPRESUMING | 6.1% | 16.30 | 8 |
| 9 | 10 | FIRE BALL | 5.6% | 17.81 | 10 |
| 10 | 13 | SPLENDID LIVING | 5.2% | 19.16 | 4 |
| 11 | 9 | D STAR | 4.6% | 21.67 | 1 |
| 12 | 3 | CALL ME TEDDY | 3.7% | 26.69 | 11 |
| 13 | 6 | FLYING SWORD | 2.6% | 38.21 | 14 |
| 14 | 8 | KA YING GLORIOUS | 0.8% | 131.53 | 12 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
9 176.5
PLACE
9 46
12 17
14 27
QUINELLA
9,12 433
QUINELLA PLACE
9,12 157
9,14 213
12,14 68
FORECAST
9,12 797
TIERCE
9,12,14 9,291
TRIO
9,12,14 1,116
FIRST 4
9,12,13,14 1,311
QUARTET
9,12,14,13 49,237
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 21.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
8/9 21,716
8/12 1,819.5