沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 14:36
第 4場
2023-01-15沙田第4場,Class 4,途程1200米,跑道評為GOOD。由C L Chau策騎、T P Yung訓練的FUN TOGETHER勝出,贏出SH。VICTORY SCHOLARS獲得亞軍;UNIVERSAL HORIZON獲得季軍。1.7倍大熱門MULTISUPER跑獲第7名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | FUN TOGETHER TT1 1.10.11 ▶ 重播 (在新分頁開啟) C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 143.0 | SH |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS V Y L Chung · C Fownes | Y L Chung | C Fownes | 2 | 8.4 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 11 | 11.0 | N |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY H/V/TT K Teetan · F C Lor | K Teetan | F C Lor | 8 | 8.2 | N |
| 5 | 10 | TOGEPI L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 6 | 50.0 | 1-1/2 |
| 6 | 12 | TIMESTORM XB/TT H Bowman · D J Hall | H Bowman | D J Hall | 7 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | MULTISUPER Z Purton · P F Yiu | Z Purton | P F Yiu | 3 | 1.7 | 2-1/4 |
| 8 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW B/TT V Borges · D J Whyte | V Borges | D J Whyte | 9 | 58.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | DENFIELD TT1 S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 4 | 6.4 | 3-1/2 |
| 10 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT CP L Hewitson · D A Hayes | L Hewitson | D A Hayes | 14 | 155.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 11 | 1 | PINS PRINCE H/P/TT A Badel · J Size | A Badel | J Size | 13 | 36.0 | 9-1/4 |
| 12 | 5 | AUGUST MOON V/TT L Currie · J Richards | L Currie | J Richards | 10 | 95.0 | 11 |
| 13 | 7 | FAITHFUL CHAMPION H/TT A Hamelin · A S Cruz | A Hamelin | A S Cruz | 1 | 161.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 14 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE H1/TT M L Yeung · K L Man | M L Yeung | K L Man | 12 | 254.0 | 17-3/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | MULTISUPER | 41.7% | 2.40 | 7 |
| 2 | 4 | VICTORY SCHOLARS | 11.0% | 9.10 | 2 |
| 3 | 2 | UNIVERSAL HORIZON | 10.8% | 9.28 | 3 |
| 4 | 13 | SUPER HIGHWAY | 10.4% | 9.62 | 4 |
| 5 | 6 | DENFIELD | 7.8% | 12.89 | 9 |
| 6 | 12 | TIMESTORM | 5.0% | 19.85 | 6 |
| 7 | 14 | DOUBLE SHOW | 3.0% | 32.90 | 8 |
| 8 | 1 | PINS PRINCE | 2.8% | 35.46 | 11 |
| 9 | 11 | ORIENTAL SPIRIT | 2.8% | 36.06 | 10 |
| 10 | 5 | AUGUST MOON | 1.4% | 72.20 | 12 |
| 11 | 8 | FUN TOGETHER | 1.2% | 81.94 | 1 |
| 12 | 10 | TOGEPI | 1.1% | 87.78 | 5 |
| 13 | 7 | FAITHFUL CHAMPION | 0.5% | 192.26 | 13 |
| 14 | 9 | HAPPY HORSE | 0.5% | 203.25 | 14 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬:橫軸為模型概率,縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致;金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算,並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
8 1,439.5
PLACE
2 45.5
4 19.5
8 169.5
QUINELLA
4,8 2,374.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 133
2,8 1,448.5
4,8 565.5
FORECAST
8,4 4,915
TIERCE
8,4,2 81,936
TRIO
2,4,8 10,315
FIRST 4
2,4,8,13 12,265
QUARTET
8,4,2,13 378,995
全部彩池(另 3 項)
2ND DOUBLE TRIO
1,2,5/2,4,8 476,107
3 PICK 1
A1 —
A2 —
A3 54.5
3RD DOUBLE
5/4 36
5/8 3,723