沙田 · 2023-01-15 · 17:13
第 9場
2023-01-15沙田第9場，Class 3，途程1200米，跑道評為GOOD。由L Hewitson策騎、W Y So訓練的NOT USUAL STAR勝出，贏出SH。MARK THE MOMENT獲得亞軍；NABOO LEGEND獲得季軍。2.1倍大熱門GOLDEN EXPRESS跑獲第5名。
賽果
| 名次 | No. | 馬名 | 騎師 | 練馬師 | 檔位 | 獨贏賠率 | 馬距 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR H/TT 1.09.80 ▶ 重播 （在新分頁開啟） L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 8 | 68.0 | SH |
| 2 | 2 | MARK THE MOMENT V/TT K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 12 | 23.0 | SH |
| 3 | 3 | NABOO LEGEND H Bowman · D A Hayes | H Bowman | D A Hayes | 3 | 46.0 | 1/2 |
| 4 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT B H Bentley · D J Whyte | H Bentley | D J Whyte | 7 | 10.0 | 1/2 |
| 5 | 6 | GOLDEN EXPRESS S De Sousa · J Size | S De Sousa | J Size | 10 | 2.1 | 3/4 |
| 6 | 5 | READY TO WIN CP/XB/TT K C Leung · F C Lor | K C Leung | F C Lor | 11 | 18.0 | 1 |
| 7 | 8 | PULSAR STRIDER C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 5 | 10.0 | 1 |
| 8 | 13 | BRAVE STAR XB C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 6 | 8.6 | 2-1/4 |
| 9 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES B/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 2 | 10.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 10 | 11 | DRAGON ADMIRAL XB-/H/SR1 R Maia · R Gibson | R Maia | R Gibson | 4 | 97.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 11 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 14 | 153.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 12 | 12 | DREAM PURSUER Z Purton · K L Man | Z Purton | K L Man | 1 | 5.3 | 5-1/4 |
| 13 | 14 | CHARMANDER B/XB/TT A Badel · J Richards | A Badel | J Richards | 9 | 131.0 | 5-1/4 |
| 14 | 10 | MAGIC PHOENIX TT L Currie · K H Ting | L Currie | K H Ting | 13 | 163.0 | 5-1/4 |
賽果形勢
模型評分
| 排名 | No. | 馬名 | 勝出概率 | 評估賠率 | 名次 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12 | DREAM PURSUER | 27.1% | 3.69 | 12 |
| 2 | 6 | GOLDEN EXPRESS | 24.4% | 4.10 | 5 |
| 3 | 13 | BRAVE STAR | 9.4% | 10.64 | 8 |
| 4 | 8 | PULSAR STRIDER | 8.0% | 12.49 | 7 |
| 5 | 1 | MAJESTIC KNIGHT | 6.5% | 15.42 | 4 |
| 6 | 2 | MARK THE MOMENT | 5.7% | 17.52 | 2 |
| 7 | 9 | CALIFORNIA VANES | 5.0% | 20.00 | 9 |
| 8 | 5 | READY TO WIN | 4.0% | 24.96 | 6 |
| 9 | 4 | NOT USUAL STAR | 3.1% | 32.39 | 1 |
| 10 | 3 | NABOO LEGEND | 2.5% | 39.76 | 3 |
| 11 | 14 | CHARMANDER | 1.3% | 76.14 | 13 |
| 12 | 10 | MAGIC PHOENIX | 1.1% | 90.38 | 14 |
| 13 | 11 | DRAGON ADMIRAL | 1.0% | 101.06 | 10 |
| 14 | 7 | CRYSTAL POWERFUL | 0.9% | 108.94 | 11 |
模型對市場
每點代表一匹馬：橫軸為模型概率，縱軸為市場隱含概率。點落在虛線上代表兩者一致；金圈為實際頭馬。
評分僅為統計分析估算，並非投注建議——回測顯示模型對香港獨贏市場並無盈利優勢。 模型原理 →
派彩
WIN
4 684.5
PLACE
2 65
3 106.5
4 116
QUINELLA
2,4 5,312
QUINELLA PLACE
2,3 831.5
2,4 680.5
3,4 1,511.5
FORECAST
4,2 11,919
TIERCE
4,2,3 98,256
TRIO
2,3,4 13,139
FIRST 4
1,2,3,4 10,925
QUARTET
4,2,3,1 348,537
全部彩池（另 2 項）
3 PICK 1
A3 38.5
A2 —
A1 —
8TH DOUBLE
4/2 202.5
4/4 2,383