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Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 16:38

Race 8

Class 3 GOOD 1600m Course A 13 runners

Result

Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
2 0 HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · R Gibson 8 9.4 SH
3 0 LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz 6 82.0 1
4 0 ERIMO Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size 13 34.0 1
5 0 SECRET VISION TT S De Sousa · C S Shum 7 6.2 1-1/4
6 0 HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B Z Purton · F C Lor 12 5.3 1-1/4
7 0 HAPPY DAY Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So 4 7.8 1-1/4
8 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE R Maia · K W Lui 5 28.0 4-3/4
9 0 CAPITAL LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes 3 7.7 5-1/2
10 0 DECRYPT XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng 1 30.0 5-1/2
11 0 STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes 11 26.0 5-1/2
12 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE H/SR/TT V Borges · K H Ting 14 159.0 6-1/4
13 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT H Bentley · C H Yip 2 135.0 10
14 0 NEVER TOO SOON TT M F Poon · D J Hall 9 25.0 17-1/2
— 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE Led early CP K C Leung · P F Yiu — 3.3 SH

This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.

Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. HAPPY TOGETHER, ridden by A Badel and trained by R Gibson, won by SH, with LA CITY BLANCHE second and ERIMO third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 3.3 favourite VOYAGE BUBBLE did not finish.

Race shape

Beaten lengths
2. HAPPY TOGETHER+0.1L3. LA CITY BLANCHE+1L4. ERIMO+1L5. SECRET VISION+1.25L6. HAVA NAGEELA+1.25L7. HAPPY DAY+1.25L8. GOLDEN EMPIRE+4.75L9. CAPITAL LEGEND+5.5L10. DECRYPT+5.5L11. STRAIGHT ARRON+5.5L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 0 HAVA NAGEELA 16.4% 6.10 6
2 0 CAPITAL LEGEND 15.5% 6.47 9
3 0 HAPPY DAY 13.6% 7.37 7
4 0 VOYAGE BUBBLE 12.6% 7.95 —
5 0 SECRET VISION 9.3% 10.77 5
6 0 GOLDEN EMPIRE 6.8% 14.64 8
7 0 ERIMO 6.6% 15.09 4
8 0 HAPPY TOGETHER 4.2% 23.59 2
9 0 STRAIGHT ARRON 4.2% 23.64 11
10 0 DECRYPT 4.1% 24.38 10
11 0 NEVER TOO SOON 3.1% 31.94 14
12 0 YOUNG BRILLIANT 1.6% 62.98 13
13 0 LA CITY BLANCHE 1.1% 87.63 3
14 0 IMPERIAL MAGEE 0.8% 121.41 12
HAVA NAGEELACAPITAL LEGENDHAPPY DAYVOYAGE BUBBLESECRET VISIONGOLDEN EMPIREERIMOHAPPY TOGETHERSTRAIGHT ARRONDECRYPTNEVER TOO SOONYOUNG BRILLIANTLA CITY BLANCHEIMPERIAL MAGEE

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

4 33.5

PLACE

2 161.5

4 16.5

12 31

QUINELLA

4,12 164.5

QUINELLA PLACE

2,4 425.5

2,12 1,028.5

4,12 75

FORECAST

4,12 336

TIERCE

4,12,2 14,263

TRIO

2,4,12 4,388

FIRST 4

1,2,4,12 16,476

QUARTET

4,12,2,1 158,975

All pools (3 more)

3 PICK 1

A2 —

A1 23.5

A3 —

4TH DOUBLE TRIO

5,10>7,14/2,4,12 1,222,345

7TH DOUBLE

7,14/4 61

7,14/12 26.5