Sha Tin · 2023-01-15 · 16:38
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-15 was Class 3 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. VOYAGE BUBBLE, ridden by K C Leung and trained by P F Yiu, won by SH, with HAPPY TOGETHER second and LA CITY BLANCHE third. The winner led throughout. Victory came as the 3.3 favourite.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | VOYAGE BUBBLE Wire to wire CP 1.34.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K C Leung · P F Yiu | K C Leung | P F Yiu | 10 | 3.3 | SH |
| 2 | 12 | HAPPY TOGETHER Closed strongly TT A Badel · R Gibson | A Badel | R Gibson | 8 | 9.4 | SH |
| 3 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE Closed strongly H/TT Y L Chung · A S Cruz | Y L Chung | A S Cruz | 6 | 82.0 | 1 |
| 4 | 1 | ERIMO Closed strongly B H Bowman · J Size | H Bowman | J Size | 13 | 34.0 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SECRET VISION TT S De Sousa · C S Shum | S De Sousa | C S Shum | 7 | 6.2 | 1-1/4 |
| 6 | 9 | HAVA NAGEELA Closed strongly B Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 12 | 5.3 | 1-1/4 |
| 7 | 14 | HAPPY DAY Closed strongly L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 4 | 7.8 | 1-1/4 |
| 8 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE R Maia · K W Lui | R Maia | K W Lui | 5 | 28.0 | 4-3/4 |
| 9 | 6 | CAPITAL LEGEND TT C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 7.7 | 5-1/2 |
| 10 | 10 | DECRYPT XB/TT C L Chau · P C Ng | C L Chau | P C Ng | 1 | 30.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 11 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON Closed strongly CP K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 11 | 26.0 | 5-1/2 |
| 12 | 13 | IMPERIAL MAGEE H/SR/TT V Borges · K H Ting | V Borges | K H Ting | 14 | 159.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 13 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT H Bentley · C H Yip | H Bentley | C H Yip | 2 | 135.0 | 10 |
| 14 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON TT M F Poon · D J Hall | M F Poon | D J Hall | 9 | 25.0 | 17-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 9 | HAVA NAGEELA | 16.4% | 6.10 | 6 |
| 2 | 6 | CAPITAL LEGEND | 15.5% | 6.47 | 9 |
| 3 | 14 | HAPPY DAY | 13.6% | 7.37 | 7 |
| 4 | 4 | VOYAGE BUBBLE | 12.6% | 7.95 | 1 |
| 5 | 7 | SECRET VISION | 9.3% | 10.77 | 5 |
| 6 | 8 | GOLDEN EMPIRE | 6.8% | 14.64 | 8 |
| 7 | 1 | ERIMO | 6.6% | 15.09 | 4 |
| 8 | 12 | HAPPY TOGETHER | 4.2% | 23.59 | 2 |
| 9 | 3 | STRAIGHT ARRON | 4.2% | 23.64 | 11 |
| 10 | 10 | DECRYPT | 4.1% | 24.38 | 10 |
| 11 | 5 | NEVER TOO SOON | 3.1% | 31.94 | 14 |
| 12 | 11 | YOUNG BRILLIANT | 1.6% | 62.98 | 13 |
| 13 | 2 | LA CITY BLANCHE | 1.1% | 87.63 | 3 |
| 14 | 13 | IMPERIAL MAGEE | 0.8% | 121.41 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
4 33.5
PLACE
2 161.5
4 16.5
12 31
QUINELLA
4,12 164.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,4 425.5
2,12 1,028.5
4,12 75
FORECAST
4,12 336
TIERCE
4,12,2 14,263
TRIO
2,4,12 4,388
FIRST 4
1,2,4,12 16,476
QUARTET
4,12,2,1 158,975
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A2 —
A3 —
A1 23.5
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
5,10>7,14/2,4,12 1,222,345
7TH DOUBLE
7,14/4 61
7,14/12 26.5