Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 12:16
Race 1
Race 1 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 2 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. PING HAI GALAXY, ridden by Z Purton and trained by J Size, won by 3/4, with KA YING MASTER second and YOU'REMYEVERYTHING third. The 1.4 favourite SUPER WIN DRAGON finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY 1.08.88 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 5 | 8.4 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 1 | KA YING MASTER TT C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | 2 | 6.2 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING TT A Badel · A S Cruz | A Badel | A S Cruz | 4 | 20.0 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | SUPER WIN DRAGON V/TT C Y Ho · W Y So | C Y Ho | W Y So | 1 | 1.4 | 2 |
| 5 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN P/TT H N Wong · W Y So | H N Wong | W Y So | 3 | 26.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 6 | 4 | ASTROLOGER SR K Teetan · P C Ng | K Teetan | P C Ng | 6 | 7.8 | 4-1/2 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 3 | SUPER WIN DRAGON | 32.3% | 3.10 | 4 |
| 2 | 2 | PING HAI GALAXY | 25.4% | 3.94 | 1 |
| 3 | 4 | ASTROLOGER | 18.0% | 5.56 | 6 |
| 4 | 1 | KA YING MASTER | 12.6% | 7.93 | 2 |
| 5 | 5 | YOU'REMYEVERYTHING | 9.7% | 10.35 | 3 |
| 6 | 6 | CLASSIC UNICORN | 2.1% | 47.42 | 5 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
2 84.5
PLACE
1 19.5
2 30
QUINELLA
1,2 172
FORECAST
2,1 378
TIERCE
2,1,5 2,860
TRIO
1,2,5 489
FIRST 4
1,2,3,5 55
QUARTET
2,1,5,3 3,608