Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 14:18
Race 5
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | ADEFILL CP 1.08.43 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) K Teetan · P F Yiu | K Teetan | P F Yiu | 5 | 8.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 0 | STAND UP H Bowman · F C Lor | H Bowman | F C Lor | 12 | 3.7 | 1-1/2 |
| 4 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME B/TT S De Sousa · K L Man | S De Sousa | K L Man | 11 | 10.0 | 2-1/4 |
| 5 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE B-/XB1/PC2 Z Purton · J Size | Z Purton | J Size | 8 | 5.3 | 2-1/2 |
| 6 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 9 | 115.0 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | TURBO POWER B-/PC1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 2 | 4.9 | 4-1/2 |
| 8 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE B/TT V Borges · C Fownes | V Borges | C Fownes | 4 | 37.0 | 4-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER H Bentley · Y S Tsui | H Bentley | Y S Tsui | 6 | 27.0 | 6 |
| 10 | 0 | SUPER FAST DRAGON CP1/TT L Hewitson · J Richards | L Hewitson | J Richards | 7 | 18.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 11 | 0 | FLYING BONUS P2 A Hamelin · C H Yip | A Hamelin | C H Yip | 1 | 9.4 | 9-1/2 |
| 12 | 0 | CALIFORNIA FOREST B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 10 | 47.0 | 9-3/4 |
| — | 0 | SON PAK FU B-/BO2 C L Chau · T P Yung | C L Chau | T P Yung | — | 11.0 | 2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 5 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 4 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. ADEFILL, ridden by K Teetan and trained by P F Yiu, won by 1-1/2, with STAND UP second and MAGIC SUPREME third. The 3.7 favourite STAND UP finished 2nd.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | STAND UP | 17.9% | 5.57 | 2 |
| 2 | 0 | TURBO POWER | 16.7% | 5.97 | 7 |
| 3 | 0 | SHINING FORTUNE | 11.3% | 8.85 | 5 |
| 4 | 0 | ADEFILL | 10.7% | 9.35 | 1 |
| 5 | 0 | SON PAK FU | 8.6% | 11.58 | — |
| 6 | 0 | MAGIC SUPREME | 6.4% | 15.60 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | SUPER FAST DRAGON | 6.1% | 16.52 | 10 |
| 8 | 0 | SERGEANT PEPPER | 5.9% | 17.05 | 9 |
| 9 | 0 | FLYING BONUS | 5.5% | 18.25 | 11 |
| 10 | 0 | TELECOM MISSILE | 5.4% | 18.54 | 8 |
| 11 | 0 | CALIFORNIA FOREST | 3.4% | 29.84 | 12 |
| 12 | 0 | INSPIRING CITY | 2.1% | 47.01 | 6 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
9 84.5
PLACE
2 16.5
9 24
11 36.5
QUINELLA
2,9 141.5
QUINELLA PLACE
2,9 54
2,11 96
9,11 144.5
FORECAST
9,2 462
TIERCE
9,2,11 4,039
TRIO
2,9,11 443
FIRST 4
2,5,9,11 1,434
QUARTET
9,2,11,5 28,165
All pools (2 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 27
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE
2/2 39
2/9 268.5