Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 15:53
Race 8
Race 8 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 4 over 1400m, run on GOOD going. BULLETPROOF, ridden by R Maia and trained by P F Yiu, won by NOSE, with GOLDEN BULL second and RUN RUN BUDDY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.6 favourite FORERUNNER finished 4th.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | BULLETPROOF Closed strongly V 1.22.46 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 13 | 111.0 | NOSE |
| 2 | 5 | GOLDEN BULL Closed strongly TT M F Poon · C S Shum | M F Poon | C S Shum | 12 | 14.0 | NOSE |
| 3 | 10 | RUN RUN BUDDY Closed strongly CP Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 2 | 5.5 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 2 | FORERUNNER Closed strongly H Bowman · T P Yung | H Bowman | T P Yung | 4 | 2.6 | 1-1/4 |
| 5 | 13 | GALLANT HERO Closed strongly BO-/XB- H T Mo · D J Hall | H T Mo | D J Hall | 8 | 46.0 | 1-3/4 |
| 6 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY Closed strongly B A Badel · D A Hayes | A Badel | D A Hayes | 6 | 9.0 | 2 |
| 7 | 3 | THE HULK Closed strongly C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 7 | 19.0 | 2-1/2 |
| 8 | 9 | ROMANTIC LAOS TT C L Chau · J Richards | C L Chau | J Richards | 1 | 15.0 | 3-1/2 |
| 9 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR B/H/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 9.3 | 3-3/4 |
| 10 | 7 | YOUNG VICTORY TT L Hewitson · W Y So | L Hewitson | W Y So | 3 | 8.9 | 6 |
| 11 | 6 | KASI FARASI Closed strongly S De Sousa · C H Yip | S De Sousa | C H Yip | 14 | 50.0 | 6-1/4 |
| 12 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS V H Bentley · P C Ng | H Bentley | P C Ng | 10 | 25.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 13 | 14 | SMILING MOON CP-/B1 H N Wong · K H Ting | H N Wong | K H Ting | 11 | 242.0 | 22-3/4 |
| 14 | 11 | VANQUISHER Led early SR1/TT1 K Teetan · D J Whyte | K Teetan | D J Whyte | 9 | 23.0 | 70-3/4 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10 | RUN RUN BUDDY | 30.0% | 3.33 | 3 |
| 2 | 2 | FORERUNNER | 19.7% | 5.09 | 4 |
| 3 | 5 | GOLDEN BULL | 7.0% | 14.19 | 2 |
| 4 | 3 | THE HULK | 6.7% | 14.89 | 7 |
| 5 | 11 | VANQUISHER | 6.5% | 15.49 | 14 |
| 6 | 7 | YOUNG VICTORY | 6.4% | 15.61 | 10 |
| 7 | 4 | HELENE WISDOM STAR | 5.7% | 17.67 | 9 |
| 8 | 12 | STRONGEST BOY | 4.2% | 23.74 | 6 |
| 9 | 6 | KASI FARASI | 3.6% | 27.42 | 11 |
| 10 | 13 | GALLANT HERO | 3.2% | 31.05 | 5 |
| 11 | 9 | ROMANTIC LAOS | 2.5% | 39.81 | 8 |
| 12 | 8 | GANG OF BROTHERS | 2.5% | 40.79 | 12 |
| 13 | 1 | BULLETPROOF | 1.4% | 70.71 | 1 |
| 14 | 14 | SMILING MOON | 0.6% | 170.76 | 13 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
1 1,115.5
PLACE
1 214.5
5 37
10 22
QUINELLA
1,5 5,895
QUINELLA PLACE
1,5 1,772.5
1,10 955.5
5,10 133.5
FORECAST
1,5 12,643
TIERCE
1,5,10 109,050
TRIO
1,5,10 11,362
FIRST 4
1,2,5,10 5,123
QUARTET
1,5,10,2 227,297
All pools (3 more)
3 PICK 1
A3 25.5
A1 —
A2 —
4TH DOUBLE TRIO
3,4,9/1,5,10 1,428,279
7TH DOUBLE
9/1 5,107.5
9/5 155