Skip to content

HKJC Guru is an independent statistics service and is not affiliated with, endorsed by, or connected to The Hong Kong Jockey Club.

Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 12:46

Race 2

Class 5 GOOD (AWT) 1200m 12 runners

Race 2 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 5 over 1200m, run on GOOD (AWT) going. COLOURFUL PRINCE, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by D J Whyte, won by 2-3/4, with ACA POWER second and LORIZ third. The 3.5 favourite ACA POWER finished 2nd.

Result

Official · 1.08.92
Pos No. Horse Draw Odds Margin
1 2 COLOURFUL PRINCE B-/SR2/TT 1.08.92 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · D J Whyte 1 6.8 2-3/4
2 6 ACA POWER H-/CP1 H Bowman · D J Hall 11 3.5 2-3/4
3 1 LORIZ B C Y Ho · P F Yiu 8 15.0 3
4 3 TOUCH FAITH P2 Z Purton · J Size 12 9.3 3-3/4
5 11 FORTUNE MARBO TT C L Chau · T P Yung 10 7.6 5
6 8 HANDSOME GUYS E/TT K H Chan · C Fownes 2 5.2 5-1/2
7 10 SUPER CLASS H/P/XB K Teetan · A T Millard 5 30.0 6
8 9 STEEL WIN V/TT M F Poon · K L Man 6 25.0 6-1/4
9 5 GOLDEN MISSION B/TT S De Sousa · C W Chang 9 13.0 8-1/4
10 4 TREASURE OF FIELD B/TT A Hamelin · K H Ting 7 39.0 8-1/4
11 7 GOLD COMET B V Borges · C H Yip 4 10.0 8-1/2
12 12 NOBODY KNOWS H T Mo · L Ho 3 100.0 9-1/4

Race shape

Beaten lengths
1. COLOURFUL PRINCE2. ACA POWER+2.75L3. LORIZ+3L4. TOUCH FAITH+3.75L5. FORTUNE MARBO+5L6. HANDSOME GUYS+5.5L7. SUPER CLASS+6L8. STEEL WIN+6.25L9. GOLDEN MISSION+8.25L10. TREASURE OF FIELD+8.25L

Model ratings

Backtest · wf-2022-23
The model's top pick COLOURFUL PRINCE (19.5%) won this race. Out-of-sample backtest: this board was produced by a model trained only on seasons before this race — it never saw this result.
Rank No. Horse Win % Rated price Pos
1 2 COLOURFUL PRINCE 19.5% 5.14 1
2 3 TOUCH FAITH 16.4% 6.09 4
3 6 ACA POWER 11.7% 8.57 2
4 8 HANDSOME GUYS 10.0% 10.01 6
5 5 GOLDEN MISSION 9.5% 10.55 9
6 1 LORIZ 6.7% 14.84 3
7 4 TREASURE OF FIELD 6.6% 15.13 10
8 11 FORTUNE MARBO 6.1% 16.47 5
9 9 STEEL WIN 4.4% 22.51 8
10 7 GOLD COMET 4.4% 22.89 11
11 10 SUPER CLASS 3.4% 29.05 7
12 12 NOBODY KNOWS 1.3% 76.95 12
COLOURFUL PRINCE — wonTOUCH FAITHACA POWERHANDSOME GUYSGOLDEN MISSIONLORIZTREASURE OF FIELDFORTUNE MARBOSTEEL WINGOLD COMETSUPER CLASSNOBODY KNOWS

Model vs market

Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.

Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →

Dividends

Per $10 unit

WIN

2 68

PLACE

1 44.5

2 21

6 16.5

QUINELLA

2,6 162

QUINELLA PLACE

1,2 171.5

1,6 94

2,6 63.5

FORECAST

2,6 286

TIERCE

2,6,1 3,673

TRIO

1,2,6 791

FIRST 4

1,2,3,6 801

QUARTET

2,6,1,3 19,017

All pools (3 more)

1ST DOUBLE

2/2 538

2/6 88

1ST DOUBLE TRIO

1,2,5/1,2,6 45,584

3 PICK 1

A2

A1 23

A3