Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 13:15
Race 3
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE Closed strongly TT 1.34.77 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) Z Purton · F C Lor | Z Purton | F C Lor | 9 | 1.7 | 3/4 |
| 2 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN Closed strongly B/TT L Ferraris · A S Cruz | L Ferraris | A S Cruz | 5 | 14.0 | 3/4 |
| 3 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY Closed strongly K Teetan · J Size | K Teetan | J Size | 6 | 10.0 | 1-1/4 |
| 4 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS Closed strongly B A Badel · P F Yiu | A Badel | P F Yiu | 2 | 8.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 5 | 0 | THE ROCK C Y Ho · C Fownes | C Y Ho | C Fownes | 3 | 19.0 | 3-1/4 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S Led early B M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 7 | 6.2 | 4 |
| 7 | 0 | ENJOYING B/TT K H Chan · W Y So | K H Chan | W Y So | 4 | 41.0 | 4-1/4 |
| 8 | 0 | C P BRAVE B2/TT H Bentley · A T Millard | H Bentley | A T Millard | 1 | 18.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL CP V Borges · J Size | V Borges | J Size | 8 | 31.0 | 6-1/2 |
This site does not show odds as they change: the odds here are final prices after a race, or overnight prices before it.
Race 3 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 2 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. BEAUTY LIVE, ridden by Z Purton and trained by F C Lor, won by 3/4, with CALIFORNIA TEN second and RUNNING GLORY third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. Victory came as the 1.7 favourite.
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 0 | BEAUTY LIVE | 35.6% | 2.81 | 1 |
| 2 | 0 | RUNNING GLORY | 17.7% | 5.66 | 3 |
| 3 | 0 | SPIRITED EXPRESS | 12.9% | 7.75 | 4 |
| 4 | 0 | ENJOYING | 8.8% | 11.36 | 7 |
| 5 | 0 | THE ROCK | 7.5% | 13.31 | 5 |
| 6 | 0 | ALL FOR ST PAUL'S | 7.1% | 14.07 | 6 |
| 7 | 0 | CALIFORNIA TEN | 5.4% | 18.43 | 2 |
| 8 | 0 | C P BRAVE | 3.1% | 32.05 | 8 |
| 9 | 0 | EXCELLENT PROPOSAL | 1.8% | 54.93 | 9 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
6 17
PLACE
2 26
6 10.1
7 32
QUINELLA
6,7 104
QUINELLA PLACE
2,6 30
2,7 130.5
6,7 37
FORECAST
6,7 171
TIERCE
6,7,2 773
TRIO
2,6,7 190
FIRST 4
2,5,6,7 212
QUARTET
6,7,2,5 3,060
All pools (2 more)
2ND DOUBLE
2/6 134
2/7 99
3 PICK 1
A1 13
A3 —
A2 —