Sha Tin · 2023-01-21 · 14:51
Race 6
Race 6 at Sha Tin on 2023-01-21 was Class 4 over 1600m, run on GOOD going. CHING, ridden by L Hewitson and trained by C W Chang, won by 1-1/2, with FLYING MOJITO second and EZRA third. The winner closed strongly from off the pace. The 2.4 favourite FLYING MOJITO finished 2nd.
Result
| Pos | No. | Horse | Jockey | Trainer | Draw | Odds | Margin |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 5 | CHING Closed strongly 1.35.33 ▶ Replay (opens in new tab) L Hewitson · C W Chang | L Hewitson | C W Chang | 8 | 3.1 | 1-1/2 |
| 2 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO Closed strongly XB/CP1 Z Purton · D J Hall | Z Purton | D J Hall | 4 | 2.4 | 1-1/2 |
| 3 | 9 | EZRA Closed strongly B L Ferraris · A T Millard | L Ferraris | A T Millard | 7 | 24.0 | 2-3/4 |
| 4 | 7 | MACH TEN Closed strongly CP1 R Maia · P F Yiu | R Maia | P F Yiu | 10 | 55.0 | 6-1/2 |
| 5 | 8 | ONE HEART ONE Closed strongly TT K Teetan · D A Hayes | K Teetan | D A Hayes | 3 | 5.9 | 6-3/4 |
| 6 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE Closed strongly B2 A Hamelin · T P Yung | A Hamelin | T P Yung | 5 | 14.0 | 7 |
| 7 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA CP/XB S De Sousa · P C Ng | S De Sousa | P C Ng | 11 | 12.0 | 7 |
| 8 | 2 | DEAR SIBLING Closed strongly B C L Chau · K L Man | C L Chau | K L Man | 6 | 91.0 | 7-1/2 |
| 9 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY V-/B1 M F Poon · F C Lor | M F Poon | F C Lor | 2 | 15.0 | 11-1/2 |
| 10 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO B/H/TT K H Chan · K H Ting | K H Chan | K H Ting | 12 | 128.0 | 12-3/4 |
| 11 | 10 | GENERAL ACE Led early CP1 C Y Ho · K W Lui | C Y Ho | K W Lui | 1 | 52.0 | 16-1/4 |
| 12 | 12 | MIGHTY STAR B/H/TT H T Mo · A S Cruz | H T Mo | A S Cruz | 9 | 176.0 | 22 |
Race shape
Model ratings
| Rank | No. | Horse | Win % | Rated price | Pos |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | FLYING MOJITO | 29.8% | 3.36 | 2 |
| 2 | 5 | CHING | 17.1% | 5.86 | 1 |
| 3 | 8 | ONE HEART ONE | 13.1% | 7.64 | 5 |
| 4 | 1 | OSCAR GLORY | 11.0% | 9.07 | 9 |
| 5 | 3 | TURQUOISE ALPHA | 8.5% | 11.82 | 7 |
| 6 | 11 | DRAGON PRIDE | 6.6% | 15.17 | 6 |
| 7 | 9 | EZRA | 4.3% | 23.26 | 3 |
| 8 | 4 | MISSION BRAVO | 2.9% | 34.95 | 10 |
| 9 | 7 | MACH TEN | 2.5% | 39.37 | 4 |
| 10 | 10 | GENERAL ACE | 1.7% | 59.40 | 11 |
| 11 | 2 | DEAR SIBLING | 1.4% | 72.40 | 8 |
| 12 | 12 | MIGHTY STAR | 1.2% | 80.64 | 12 |
Model vs market
Each dot is a runner: model probability across, market-implied probability up. Dots on the dashed line mean the two agreed; the gold ring is the actual winner.
Ratings are statistical estimates for analysis, not betting advice — the backtest shows no profitable edge against the Hong Kong win market. How the model works →
Dividends
WIN
5 31.5
PLACE
5 13
6 12
9 44
QUINELLA
5,6 38
QUINELLA PLACE
5,6 20.5
5,9 139
6,9 114
FORECAST
5,6 90
TIERCE
5,6,9 1,079
TRIO
5,6,9 295
FIRST 4
5,6,7,9 1,649
QUARTET
5,6,9,7 18,595
All pools (5 more)
3 PICK 1
A1 13.5
A3 —
A2 —
3RD DOUBLE TRIO
2,9,11/5,6,9 17,370
5TH DOUBLE
9/5 231.5
9/6 48.5
TRIPLE TRIO
2,8,12/2,9,11/5,6,9 5,333,163
TRIPLE TRIO (CONSOLATION)
2,8,12/2,9,11/Any Combination 15,198